Today's Economy Canada Weekly: Manufacturing Health Check Canada's manufacturing sector remains an integral part of the economy despite shrinking. Geopolitical Risk Calendar: Military Conflict Drags On There is still little hope of a cease-fire being agreed anytime soon for Ukraine. U.S. Consumers Won't Buck the Law of Demand for Long March retail sales were mostly boosted by price effects. Capital Markets View: Update on Yields, Spreads and Issuance Spreads widen while issuance edges higher. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary Latin America Weekly Highlights and Preview, April 15, 2022 Regional indexes are trending upward, but near-term inflation concerns remain. Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 15 April, 2022 The ECB still says interest rate hikes will only come ‘some time after’ the end of net purchases, making a July hike unlikely. Russia-Ukraine Tracker: Economic Prospects Worsen We have revised up our probability of a global recession to one in three. The Fed and Stagflation To return inflation to 2%, the central bank may have to incur a mild recession. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Japan Retail Sales Feb. 2022: -0.9% m/m France Consumer Price Index Mar. 2022: 4.5% y/y France’s CPI inflation rate increased to 4.5% y/y in March from 3.6% in February. Italy Consumer Price Index Mar. 2022: 6.5% y/y United States NY Empire State Manufacturing Survey Apr. 2022: 24.6 Sentiment among manufacturers in New York rallied in April, according to the Empire State Manufacturing Survey. United States Industrial Production Mar. 2022: 0.9% m/m U.S. industrial production expanded 0.9% in March, a larger gain than our call for a 0.5% increase. World Moody's Analytics Global GDP 2021Q4: 5.7% q/q SAAR Peru Unemployment Mar. 2022: 9.4% The job market in metropolitan Lima remains on the mend, but the pace of recovery remains grudgingly slow. United States Regional and State Employment Mar. 2022: The March employment report for state and regional economies was generally positive. United States Moody’s Analytics & CNN Business Back-to-Normal Index April 13: 94.2 The U.S. United States Median usual weekly earnings 2022Q1: 4.9% y/y United States Cox Automotive/Moody’s Analytics Vehicle Affordability Index Mar. 2022: 42.9 weeks, NSA New-vehicle affordability was flat in March. United States Treasury International Capital Flows Feb. 2022: $141.7 bil » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |