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Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Friday, April 15, 2022

Today's Economy


Canada Weekly: Manufacturing Health Check

Canada's manufacturing sector remains an integral part of the economy despite shrinking.

Geopolitical Risk Calendar: Military Conflict Drags On

There is still little hope of a cease-fire being agreed anytime soon for Ukraine.

U.S. Consumers Won't Buck the Law of Demand for Long

March retail sales were mostly boosted by price effects.

Capital Markets View: Update on Yields, Spreads and Issuance

Spreads widen while issuance edges higher.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Latin America Weekly Highlights and Preview, April 15, 2022

Regional indexes are trending upward, but near-term inflation concerns remain.

Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 15 April, 2022

The ECB still says interest rate hikes will only come ‘some time after’ the end of net purchases, making a July hike unlikely.

Russia-Ukraine Tracker: Economic Prospects Worsen

We have revised up our probability of a global recession to one in three.

The Fed and Stagflation

To return inflation to 2%, the central bank may have to incur a mild recession.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Japan
Retail Sales
Feb. 2022: -0.9% m/m

France
Consumer Price Index
Mar. 2022: 4.5% y/y
France’s CPI inflation rate increased to 4.5% y/y in March from 3.6% in February.

Italy
Consumer Price Index
Mar. 2022: 6.5% y/y

United States
NY Empire State Manufacturing Survey
Apr. 2022: 24.6
Sentiment among manufacturers in New York rallied in April, according to the Empire State Manufacturing Survey.

United States
Industrial Production
Mar. 2022: 0.9% m/m
U.S. industrial production expanded 0.9% in March, a larger gain than our call for a 0.5% increase.

World
Moody's Analytics Global GDP
2021Q4: 5.7% q/q SAAR

Peru
Unemployment
Mar. 2022: 9.4%
The job market in metropolitan Lima remains on the mend, but the pace of recovery remains grudgingly slow.

United States
Regional and State Employment
Mar. 2022:
The March employment report for state and regional economies was generally positive.

United States
Moody’s Analytics & CNN Business Back-to-Normal Index
April 13: 94.2
The U.S.

United States
Median usual weekly earnings
2022Q1: 4.9% y/y

United States
Cox Automotive/Moody’s Analytics Vehicle Affordability Index
Mar. 2022: 42.9 weeks, NSA
New-vehicle affordability was flat in March.

United States
Treasury International Capital Flows
Feb. 2022: $141.7 bil

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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