Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Monday, April 16, 2018

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: March Retail Sales Unable to Salvage Q1

Control sales were up 1% annualized in the first quarter, among the smallest gains this cycle.

Taking a LIttle Off the Top

U.S. retail sales and business inventories lower our estimate of Q1 GDP.

Europe Daily Briefing: Don’t Expect Ammunition for the BoE

U.K. growth will disappoint in Q1, while inflation is falling back to target.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Indonesia Escapes Quarterly Trade Deficit

The trade balance returned to surplus in March, after deficits in January and February.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Chartbook: The Lone Doves

Conditions are falling into place for four rate hikes this year.

U.S. Macro Outlook: Road to Recession

It's prudent to take stock of where we are in the business cycle, and watch the signposts.

Infrastructure Reality Check

U.S. public infrastructure spending needs to increase to get back to its average share of GDP over the past 20 years.

Japan Outlook: Growth Remains Firm Amid Global Risks

Domestic demand is expected to buttress growth despite rising external risks.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


United States
Black Knight Home Price Index
Jan. 2018:

United States
NY Empire State Manufacturing Survey
Apr. 2018: 15.8
Conditions remain sunny for New York's manufacturers, but dark clouds are beginning to gather on the horizon.

United States
Retail Sales
Mar. 2018: 0.6%
Retail sales growth improved, but the trend remained modest in March, and better results are coming.

Russian Federation
Industrial Production
Mar. 2018: 1.0%
Russian industrial production was up 1% year over year in March, a bit less than the February report, but the country managed to maintain its expansive trajectory.

World
Moody's Analytics Survey of Business Confidence
April 13: 41.9
Heightened global trade tensions and volatility in financial markets have had no discernible impact on global business sentiment.

United States
Business Inventories (MTIS)
Feb. 2018: 0.6%
Stockpile growth is maintaining momentum.

United States
NAHB Housing Market Index
Apr. 2018: 69
Home builder sentiment inched down 1 point in April to 69.

Colombia
Industrial Production
Feb. 2018: 1.5%
Manufacturing output expanded 1.5% y/y in February, up from 0.8% in the previous month.

United States
Treasury International Capital Flows
Feb. 2018: $49.0 bil
Net long-term inflows moderated in February.

Singapore
Foreign Trade
Mar. 2018:

China
Fixed Asset Investment
Mar. 2018:

China
GDP
2018Q1:

China
Industrial Production
Mar. 2018:

China
Retail Sales
Mar. 2018:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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