Today's Economy LatAm Daily Briefing: Q1 Data Hint at Severity of Downturn Mexico’s preliminary GDP figures depict a deepening contraction. Europe Daily Briefing: Too Much for One Day GDP figures, CPI inflation, March unemployment numbers, and the ECB; wow! Coronavirus Crisis Deepens Mexico’s Recession in First Quarter Industry and services were the most affected activities. Pandemic’s Adverse Impact on Senior Facilities Demand Will Reverberate COVID-19 will make potential residents leery of U.S. senior communal living for some time. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 30 April, 2020 March retail sales for the euro zone are set to fall 10.5%. Japan Outlook: Set for Recession in 2020 The COVID-19 outbreak has further weakened Japan's prospects of a near-term economic recovery. Hong Kong Outlook: The Worst Is Yet to Come The impacts of COVID-19 have hit the economy especially hard. The Implications of Aussie Consumers Retreating Household consumption, the backbone of the Australian economy, has pulled back. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Japan Consumer Confidence Apr. 2020: 21.6 Japan’s consumer confidence index took a nosedive in April, with the composite index falling to 21.6, down 9.3 points from March. France GDP 2020Q1: -5.8% France’s GDP slumped by 5.8% q/q in the first quarter after a 0.1% fall in the fourth, the sharpest contraction since records began in 1949. France Household Consumption Survey Mar. 2020: -17.9% France's household consumption expenditure on goods tumbled 17.9% m/m in March due to the implementation of lockdown measures in the second half of the month. Germany Retail Sales Mar. 2020: -5.6% Real, calendar and seasonally adjusted retail sales excluding motor vehicles dropped by 5.6% m/m after a downwardly revised increase of 0.8% in February. This resulted in a 0.4% decrease over the first quarter of the year. Germany Unemployment Apr. 2020: 5.8% The German unemployment rate shot up to 5.8% in April from 5% in March. Italy Unemployment Mar. 2020: 8.4% Italy’s unemployment rate ticked down by 0.9 percentage point to 8.4% m/m in March. Taiwan (Province of China) GDP 2020Q1: 1.5% The COVID-19 outbreak has hit Taiwan's GDP hard. According to advanced estimates, Taiwan's GDP declined to 1.5% y/y in the first quarter, down from 3.3% y/y in the previous quarter. Euro Zone Preliminary GDP 2020Q1: -3.8% Preliminary numbers showed that euro zone GDP slumped by 3.8% q/q in the first quarter after a 0.1% gain in the fourth, the worst result on record. Euro Zone Preliminary Consumer Price Index Apr. 2020: 0.4% Preliminary numbers showed that euro zone inflation cooled to 0.4% y/y in April from 0.7% in March. Euro Zone Unemployment Mar. 2020: 7.4% The euro zone’s jobless rate rose to only 7.4% in March from 7.3% in February, beating expectations for a sharper increase. Euro Zone Monetary Policy Apr. 2020: 0.0% The European Central Bank stepped up to the plate and further eased monetary policy conditions during its April meeting. Brazil Employment Situation Mar. 2020: 12.2% Unemployment continued to increase in March as the economy felt the impact of the coronavirus outbreak. Chile Employment Mar. 2020: 8.2% The national unemployment rate averaged 8.2% in the first quarter, sharply up from 7.2% a year earlier. Canada Earnings, Hours and Employment Feb. 2020: 3.7% Average weekly earnings for total nonfarm employees in Canada were C$1,046 in February, largely unchanged from January's C$1,046 posting. Canada Industrial Product and Raw Materials Price Indexes Mar. 2020: -0.9% Prices for products manufactured in Canada, as measured by the Industrial Product Price Index, decreased 0.9% m/m in March, driven primarily by lower prices for refined petroleum energy products. Canada Industry Output Feb. 2020: 0.0% The Canadian economy stalled in February, with GDP remaining unchanged following three months of growth. United States Jobless Claims April 25: 3,839,000 Weekly initial filings for unemployment insurance benefits are declining, but they still number in the millions. United States Employment Cost Index 2020Q1: 0.8% The COVID-19 crisis hit the labor market toward the end of the first quarter, but the impact will not be picked up in employment costs until at least next quarter. United States Personal Income Mar. 2020: -2.0% The beginning of widespread social distancing in March in response to the COVID-19 pandemic caused personal income to fall. United States PCE Deflator Mar. 2020: -0.3% The Federal Reserve should be concerned about the disinflationary pressures from COVID-19 and ensuring inflation expectations remain anchored will be key in steering the U.S. economy away from a deflationary trap. United States Personal Spending Mar. 2020: -7.3% Real consumer spending tumbled more than expected in March as nonessential businesses were shut down and millions of consumers lost their jobs. Chile Manufacturing Production Mar. 2020: 0.62% Chile's national industry started to lose steam in March as the coronavirus pandemic advanced in the country. Chile Retail & Wholesale Sales Mar. 2020: -9.0% Chile’s retail and wholesale sales index dropped 9% in March, as the effects of COVID-19 took their toll on the economy. United States St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index April 24: 1.96 Financial stress increased for the first time in five weeks. United States Natural Gas Storage Report April 24: 70 bil cubic feet The increase in natural gas stocks roughly matched analyst predictions, which means that this report will have little effect on gas prices. South Korea Foreign Trade Apr. 2020: Colombia Monetary Policy Apr. 2020: 3.25% Colombia’s central bank board cut the reference interest rate by 50 basis points after Thursday’s regular meeting. United States Agricultural Prices Mar. 2020: 3.1% The Agricultural Prices Received Index increased 3.1% from February to March. » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |