Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Wednesday, April 05, 2017

Today's Economy


Where Are We in the U.S. Vehicle Cycle?

Autos expansion is running low on gas.

Euro Zone Growth Is Near a Six-Year High

PMI data suggest the currency area’s economy is robust, lifted by Germany and France.

What Fundamentals Say About the VIX

U.S. market volatility should be higher, but a modest rise wouldn't have economic costs.

Economic Briefing: Malaysian Trade Data Indicate Stronger Tech Demand

ISM survey will show continued improvements in U.S. nonmanufacturing sector.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Looking for Political Bias in U.S. Consumer Confidence

Evidence is mixed, but we believe the 2016 election has provided a temporary boost to sentiment.

Macro Roundup: The U.K.’s Hands Are Tied

With the official triggering of Article 50, Britain seems left with little leverage.

U.S. Chartbook: Hard Data Versus Soft

Surveys paint a brighter picture than the hard numbers on spending, income and trade.

U.S. Federal Fiscal Outlook: Tapping the Brakes

New baseline assumptions highlight rising political risks.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Malaysia
Foreign Trade
Feb. 2017: MYR8.7 bil
Malaysia’s monthly trade surplus widened to MYR8.7 billion in February from January’s MYR4.7 billion surplus.

United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
March 31: -1.6%
Mortgage applications were down last week for the third consecutive week.

Chile
Monthly Economic Activity Indicator
Feb. 2017: -1.3%
Chile’s economic activity contracted in February as production was affected by a strike.

United States
ADP National Employment Report
Mar. 2017: 263,000
According to ADP’s payroll records, the labor market finished the first quarter on a strong note.

Russian Federation
Consumer Price Index
Mar. 2017: 0.1%
Russian inflation softened in March, dropping to 4.3% y/y and continuing its tack towards the central bank’s 4% target.

United States
ISM Nonmanufacturing Index
Mar. 2017: 55.2
Some of the shine is coming off the U.S. survey-based data, as it's increasingly apparent that sentiment got ahead of itself following the election.

United States
Oil Inventories
March 31: 535.5 mil barrels
An unexpected increase in oil inventories will put downward pressure on prices.

Uruguay
Consumer Price Index
Mar. 2017: 6.7%
Consumer prices decelerated in March, falling to 6.7% from February’s 7.1% gain.

United States
FOMC Minutes
Mar. 2017:
The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s March meeting showed that the debate about how and when to allow the central bank’s balance sheet to decline is heating up.

Taiwan
Consumer Price Index
Mar. 2017:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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