Today's Economy CPI Has Markets Tweaking Their Fed Call We're sticking with our forecast for a 50-basis point hike in September. Q3 U.S. GDP Tracking Estimate Edges Higher CPI boosts estimate of real consumer spending while inventories will be a smaller drag. LatAm Daily Briefing: Inflation Climbs Higher in Mexico The central bank’s timid monetary policy actions have allowed inflation to run unchecked. Relief at the Pump Is Here, Grocery Store Relief Is Coming The drop in diesel prices will put downward pressure on food prices over the next few months. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary Translating Regional Inflation Differences to States Expenditure categories and consumption patterns shine a light on divergence across the U.S. Euro Zone Economic Outlook: Strong Headwinds Persistent inflation, tighter monetary policy, and negative financial conditions and sentiment will slow economic growth. APAC Chartbook: Rising Prices and Falling Confidence Households get the heebie-jeebies as prices soar. Cyprus Outlook: Tourism to the Rescue Multiple crises are having tangible effects on visitor arrivals and inflation. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Netherlands Industrial Production Jun. 2022: -0.5% m/m Further normalizing after April's jump, Dutch industrial production contracted 0.5% month over month in June, building on the larger fall in May. Canada RPS House Price Index Jul. 2022: Germany Consumer Price Index Jul. 2022: 7.5% y/y Germany’s year-on-year CPI inflation rate edged lower to 7.5% in July from 7.6% in June. Denmark Consumer Price Index Jul. 2022: 8.7% y/y Danish CPI showed a further acceleration in price growth in July, both in monthly and yearly terms. Finland Industrial Production Jun. 2022: 1.3% m/m Finland’s industrial production expanded by 1.3% month over month after a downwardly revised 0.3% increase in May. Norway Consumer Price Index Jul. 2022: 6.8% y/y The Norwegian CPI increased further in July, by 1.3% m/m. Thailand Monetary Policy Aug. 2022: 0.75% The Bank of Thailand raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to 0.75%, ending 26 months of record-low interest rates. Austria Industrial Production Jun. 2022: -2.1% m/m Total Austrian industrial production bucked the previous five months’ growing trend, registering a 2.1% decline in June. Sweden Industrial Production Jun. 2022: 1.8% m/m Sweden’s industrial production picked up by 1.8% m/m in June after an upwardly revised 0.1% increase in May. Italy Consumer Price Index Jul. 2022: 7.9% y/y Italian consumer price inflation retracted by 10 basis points in July, posting a 7.9% year-over-year rate. Portugal Consumer Price Index Jul. 2022: 9.1% Portugal’s CPI rose to 9.1% year over year in July, up from 8.7% in June. Portugal Unemployment rate 2022Q2: 5.7% Portugal’s headline unemployment rate decreased for the second consecutive quarter, reaching 5.7%, down 0.2 percentage point from the previous quarter. United States MBA Mortgage Applications Survey August 05: 0.2% Mortgage application volume ticked up 0.2% in the week ended August 5, marking consecutive weeks of modest increases in mortgage activity. Brazil Retail Sales Index Jun. 2022: -0.3% y/y Household consumption reported another mild contraction in June, despite the acceleration of spending in elections and political campaigns. United States Consumer Price Index Jul. 2022: 0.0% m/m Consumers finally got a little relief on the inflation front in July because of a significant decline in gasoline prices. Belgium Industrial Production Jun. 2022: -11.5% y/y Belgium's industrial production fell 2.2% m/m in June on a seasonally adjusted basis, though the index still stands 4.4% above the pre-pandemic peak. United States Wholesale Trade (MWTR) Jun. 2022: 1.8% m/m Wholesale inventories grew 1.8% in June following an upwardly revised 1.9% expansion in May (previously 1.8%). United States Oil Inventories August 05: 432.0 mil barrels A larger-than-expected rise in crude oil stocks should push down somewhat on prices. United States Moody's Analytics Inflation Expectations Pulse August 07: 2.68% Inflation expectations continue to moderate swiftly. Russian Federation Consumer Price Index Jul. 2022: 15.1% y/y A stronger ruble, the stabilisation of prices for motor fuel, a decrease in fruit and vegetable prices, and the adjustment of the Russian economy to sanctions contributed to the slowdown in the annual inflation rate to 15.1% y/y in July, in line with our forecast, from 15.9% previously. United States Treasury Budget Jul. 2022: -$211.1 bil The end of federal pandemic aid, along with a strong tax-filing season in April, will allow the U.S. Singapore GDP - Advanced 2022Q2: 4.8% y/y The Singapore economy ground to a halt in the second quarter, according to advanced estimates. » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |