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Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Friday, August 02, 2024

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Downside Surprise

In July, nonfarm payrolls expanded by just 114,000, well under the consensus forecast.

Geopolitical Risk Calendar: Middle East Tensions Rise

Iran's Supreme Leader said Israel would face “severe punishment” for an alleged assassination.

Europe Daily Briefing: Industrial Production Surprise

Output increased in France and Italy in June.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Transport Drives Upturn in South Korean Inflation

Headline inflation climbed to 2.6% y/y in July.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, August 2, 2024

Monday’s Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey will provide insight into whether tight lending conditions have persisted in recent months.

U.S. Jobs Report Cont’d: Is Sahm-thing Happening?

The rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3% triggered a reliable recession indicator.

Latin America Weekly Highlights and Preview, August 2, 2024

Colombia’s interest rate is cut while Chile’s stays unchanged.

Net Zero and Growth: The U.K.’s Twin Targets

Labour’s ambitious plan for growth focuses on climate change targets.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Switzerland
Consumer Price Index
Jul. 2024: 1.3%
Switzerland’s CPI inflation rate remained unchanged in July at 1.3% year over year.

France
Industrial Production
Jun. 2024: 0.8% m/m
France's industrial production rose 0.8% month on month in June, rebounding from a downwardly revised 2.2% drop in May.

Italy
Industrial Production
Jun. 2024: 0.5% m/m
Italy's industrial production rose by 0.5% month over month in June, easily beating our forecast of a 0.5% drop.

Italy
Retail Sales
Jun. 2024: -0.2% m/m
Italy’s retail sales ticked down by 0.2% month over month in June, slightly below our forecast of a 0.1% drop.

Mexico
Employment Situation
Jun. 2024: 2.8% Unemployment
Mexico's unemployment rate began to experience upward pressure as temporary positions were terminated following the elections held at the beginning of the month.

Brazil
Industrial Production
Jun. 2024: 4.8% y/y
Brazil’s industrial production regained traction in June after almost no advance in the previous month.

United States
Employment Situation
Jul. 2024: 114,000 m/m
The labor market is showing signs of stress.

United States
Factory Orders (M3)
Jun. 2024: -3.3% m/m
U.S. factory orders fell sharply in June, though a touch less than Moody’s Analytics expected.

United States
Monthly GDP
Jun. 2024: 0.1% m/m
In June, real GDP grew 0.13%, according to the Moody’s Analytics monthly estimate.

United States
Vehicle Sales - BEA
Jul. 2024: 15.8 mil, SAAR
U.S. light-vehicle sales rebounded in July after a temporary setback caused by a cyberattack on CDK Global, a crucial provider of dealership software systems.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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