Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, August 20, 2019

Today's Economy


Colombia's Economy Shows Resilience

Growth was steady in the first half despite headwinds.

Low Long-Term U.S. Interest Rates May Hang Around

A 10-year near 1% could be more likely than a return soon to 2%.

The Inverted Yield Curve at Home and Abroad

Inversions tend to signal recessions in the U.S. but are noisier elsewhere.

Italy's Political Crisis Escalates

The prime minister has resigned; quarterly GDP could contract amid the uncertainty.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Consumer Outlook: Trade War Threatens Household Balance Sheets

There will be less wealth effect spending.

Forecaster’s Mailbag: Lowering Expectations

Animal spirits are subdued, and global recession fears have increased.

U.S. Chartbook: Tariff Tremors

Recession fears shook financial markets as the trade war dragged on and global growth soured.

U.S. Employment Outlook: Where Do We Go From Here?

Despite solid average job gains this year, the level of uncertainty in the economy is on the rise.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Canada
Survey of Manufacturing
Jun. 2019: -1.2%
Manufacturing sales tumbled in June, dropping 1.2% following May’s 1.6% gain.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
August 16: 143.0
The four-week moving average in our U.S. policy uncertainty index was 143 in the week ended August 16.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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