Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Wednesday, August 21, 2019

Today's Economy


Lower Mortgage Rates Boost U.S. Existing-Home Sales

Consumer confidence will be increasingly important for sales.

Germany Faces Down Its Black Zero Policy

Budget orthodoxy is put into question as the threat of recession grows.

Preliminary U.S. Employment Revisions Sting

Average monthly job growth between April 2018 and March 2019 now is much weaker.

Europe Daily Briefing: U.K. Fiscal Situation Is Deteriorating

The budget surplus shrank in July, a month it typically grows.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Household Credit Data Analysis

Read our comparative analysis of household credit data from the New York Fed and Moody’s Analytics.

U.S. Consumer Outlook: Trade War Threatens Household Balance Sheets

There will be less wealth effect spending.

Forecaster’s Mailbag: Lowering Expectations

Animal spirits are subdued, and global recession fears have increased.

U.S. Chartbook: Tariff Tremors

Recession fears shook financial markets as the trade war dragged on and global growth soured.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Mexico
Retail & Wholesale Sales
Jun. 2019: 1.0%
Household consumption in Mexico continues to underperform, advancing at a very slow rate in June.

United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
August 16: -0.9%
Mortgage applications dipped 0.9% over the week ending August 16, following a surge in the previous week triggered by an outbreak of refinancing.

Canada
Consumer Price Index
Jul. 2019: 2%
Consumer price inflation remains right on the Bank of Canada's target in July.

United States
Existing-Home Sales
Jul. 2019: 5.42 mil
Existing-home sales recovered in July; sales increased 2.5% for the month and by 0.6% from a year earlier.

United States
Oil Inventories
August 16: 437.8 mil barrels
A larger than expected decline in oil inventories will put upward pressure on oil prices.

United States
FOMC Minutes
Jul. 2019:
The minutes of the July meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee left the door open for additional rate cuts but stopped short of signaling any commitment.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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