Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, August 25, 2020

Today's Economy


Preliminary Cost Estimates of California Wildfires

The state's wildfire season is starting earlier and becoming more destructive.

LatAm Daily Briefing: A Trade Surplus Despite Export Slump

Commodity prices show unexpected resilience.

Europe Daily Briefing: At Least the Worst is Behind Us

German GDP contracted less than expected in Q2, but recovery will take time.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: South Korea's Consumers See Some Light

A second wave of COVID will slow the current rebound, but by how much is a question.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Forecasting Remittance Inflows to the Philippines During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Our model shows a strong recovery during the second half of the year.

Updating Our Brexit Baseline

We now expect the EU and the U.K. to reach a thin deal by the end of the year.

U.S. COVID-19 Tracker Update: Game Changers

What's next as direct relief to the economy under the CARES Act has practically ground to a halt?

U.S. Chartbook: Looking for a Spark

New data indicated that the economy’s performance did not deteriorate further, nor did it improve materially.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Germany
GDP
2020Q2: -9.7%
Final estimates showed that Germany’s GDP contracted by 9.7% q/q in the second quarter, better than the initial estimate of a 10.1% plunge but still the worst reading on record.

United States
Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Survey
Aug. 2020: 17.9
The headline index in the Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Survey dropped from 23.7 to 17.9, indicating that business activity in the Third District increased in August, albeit at a slightly weaker pace than in July.

United States
FHFA Purchase-Only House Price Index
Jun. 2020: 5.7%
The FHFA Purchase-Only House Price Index increased 5.7% on a year-ago basis and 0.9% on a monthly basis in June.

United States
S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller® Home Price Indexes
Jun. 2020: 3.5%
House price appreciation continued in June, as measured by the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index.

United States
New-Home Sales
Jul. 2020: 901,000
The U.S. housing market is cooking and will add noticeably to growth in the third quarter.

United States
Conference Board Consumer Confidence
Aug. 2020: 84.8
U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly tumbled to a cyclical low in August as the increase in infections reduced consumer views of current conditions.

United States
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey
Aug. 2020: 18
The manufacturing recovery in the Richmond Federal Reserve District accelerated in August, according to the Fifth District Survey of Manufacturing Activity.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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