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Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, August 30, 2022

Today's Economy


Capital Market View: U.S. Bond Market Not Immune to Volcker-Channeling Powell

Spreads have widened and perceptions of credit risk have risen.

LatAm Daily Briefing: LatAm’s Hard Currency Reserves Drop

As the region faces a deteriorating outlook, its record currency reserves are falling fast.

U.S. Labor Demand Still Red-Hot

The Fed faces a narrow path toward a soft landing.

Europe Daily Briefing: Euro Zone Sentiment Falls in August

The ESI fell to its lowest reading since February 2021.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Housing More Overvalued Than Ever

House price appreciation will quickly cool in the coming quarters as higher mortgage rates zap demand.

APAC Chartbook: Climate Catastrophe

Floods and drought are devastating the region.

Corporate Investors Dominate Bottom End of Housing Market

Affordability pressures will persist despite a cooling U.S. market.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, August 29, 2022

Our preliminary forecast is for nonfarm employment to have risen by 250,000 between July and August.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Spain
Retail Sales
Jul. 2022: -0.7% m/m
Spain's retail sales dropped 0.7% month on month in July, building on a downwardly revised 0.3% m/m decrease in June.

Euro Zone
Business and Consumer Sentiment
Aug. 2022: 97.6
Economic sentiment in the euro zone fell for the fifth month in a row to 97.6 in August from 98.9 in July.

Belgium
Consumer Price Index
Aug. 2022: 9.9% y/y
Consumer price growth in Belgium further accelerated in August, clocking in at 9.9% year over year after 9.6% growth in July.

Portugal
Retail Sales
Jul. 2022: 4.8% y/y
In July, Portuguese retail sales saw a slight month-on-month increase of 0.6%.

Mexico
Employment Situation
Jul. 2022: 3.4% Unemployment
Mexico’s unemployment rate reported another mild monthly increase in July as activity moderated.

Chile
Employment
Jul. 2022: 7.9%
The national unemployment rate averaged 7.9% in the May-July rolling quarter, down from 8.9% a year earlier.

Canada
Balance of International Payments
2022Q2: C$2.7 bil
Rising commodity prices, particularly for energy, caused a swell in goods exports in the second quarter.

United States
S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller® Home Price Indexes
Jun. 2022: 18.6% y/y
House price appreciation slowed in June, as measured by the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, reinforcing May’s deceleration and cooling from its breakneck pace registered through most of 2022.

United States
FHFA Purchase-Only House Price Index
Jun. 2022: 16.2% y/y
The Federal Housing Finance Agency Purchase-Only House Price Index was up 16.2% on a year-ago basis in June.

United States
Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey
Jul. 2022: 6.9% openings rate
The labor market held steady in July.

United States
Conference Board Consumer Confidence
Aug. 2022: 103.2
Because of reduced inflation concerns, U.S. consumer confidence improved in August more than our above-consensus forecast had anticipated.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
August 26: 359.3 4-wk MA
The four-week moving average in our U.S.

United States
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey
Aug. 2022: 7.2
Texas service industries continued to grow in August, though the pace moderated slightly.

South Korea
Industrial Production
Jul. 2022:

South Korea
Retail Sales
Jul. 2022:

Japan
Industrial Production
Jul. 2022:

Japan
Retail Sales
Jul. 2022:

Thailand
Industrial Production
Jul. 2022:

China
Manufacturing PMI
Aug. 2022:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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