| Today's Economy
Economic Roundup: U.S. Recession Odds Heading in Wrong Direction Bond market remains spooked and appears to be betting more on a recession. Europe Daily Briefing: Spain's Factories Faring Better Than Germany's Germany relies on exports while Spain depends on tourism and domestic demand. New ECB Target, Same Old Problem A new inflation target wouldn't be enough to solidly increase inflation expectations. U.K. GDP Preview: Likely No Better Than Stalling Manufacturing likely plunged after firms rushed to stockpile in the first quarter. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
U.S. Macro Outlook: Specter of Recession With a tweet, President Trump could undo his latest tariff threat and its ominous implications for the global economy. Latin America Preview: 12-16 August Colombia's economy likely expanded at a steady pace; inflation will have decelerated in Argentina. Road to Recession: Tariffing Our Way The likelihood of a full-blown trade war keeps rising. Global Outlook: Slower Growth Calls for Even Easier Money Central banks are loosening policy across the board. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Spain
Industrial Production
Jun. 2019: -0.2%
Spain’s industrial production decreased 0.2% in June. Brazil
Consumer Price Index
Jul. 2019: 3.22%
Brazil’s inflation continued to adjust down in July amid below-potential economic performance. OECD
Composite Leading Indicators
Jun. 2019: 99.1
The composite leading indicator for the OECD countries held steady at 99.1 in June, beating our expectations of another decline. Brazil
Retail Sales Index
Jun. 2019: -0.3%
Brazil's retail consumption weakened in June amid below potential economic growth and a darkening outlook. Chile
Consumer Price Index
Jul. 2019: 2.2%
Annual inflation continued to decline in July as the economy remained weak. Mexico
Consumer Price Index
Jul. 2019: 3.78%
Inflation edged lower in July as faint domestic demand offset pressure from a weaker peso. Canada
New Housing Price Index
Jun. 2019: -0.2%
The housing market's struggles endure. United States
Jobless Claims
August 03: 209,000
All is well in the U.S. labor market, according to initial filings for unemployment insurance benefits. United States
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
August 02: -1.36
Financial market stress edged slightly higher as escalating trade tensions gripped Wall Street. United States
Wholesale Trade (MWTR)
Jun. 2019: 0.0%
The inventory build hit pause. United States
Natural Gas Storage Report
August 02: 55 bil cubic feet
The increase in natural gas stores was slightly lower than analyst expectations, which will have a positive effect on prices. Japan
GDP
2019Q2:
China
Consumer Price Index
Jul. 2019:
China
Producer Price Index
Jul. 2019:
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