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Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, August 09, 2022

Today's Economy


Capital Market View: This Too Will Be Transitory

Tightening in high-yield corporate bond spreads may not last much longer.

Taiwan Blockade to Continue

Growing trade interdependence implies that any shock to the international trading system will have a strong impact on global economic growth.

LatAm Daily Briefing: Colombia’s New Government Tackles Fiscal Reform

Gustavo Petro and his new administration offer an ambitious, controversial economic proposal.

Europe Daily Briefing: Irish Industrial Production Grows in June

Output in the country soared 22.7% year over year.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Euro Zone Economic Outlook: Strong Headwinds

Persistent inflation, tighter monetary policy, and negative financial conditions and sentiment will slow economic growth.

APAC Chartbook: Rising Prices and Falling Confidence

Households get the heebie-jeebies as prices soar.

Cyprus Outlook: Tourism to the Rescue

Multiple crises are having tangible effects on visitor arrivals and inflation.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, August 8, 2022

While the headline CPI will post a small monthly gain in July, the core CPI, which excludes food and energy, will remain solid.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Malaysia
Industrial Production
Jun. 2022: 12.1% y/y
Malaysia’s industrial production rose 12.1% y/y in June after rising 4.1% in May.

Indonesia
Retail Sales
Jul. 2022: 8.7% y/y
Indonesia’s retail sales grew 8.7% y/y through July, based on preliminary figures.

Ireland
Industrial Production
Jun. 2022: 6.7% m/m
Ireland's industrial production grew strongly in June, increasing 6.7% m/m after surging 33.9% in May.

United States
NFIB Small Business Survey
Jul. 2022: 89.9
The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index increased from 89.5 in June to 89.9 in July, which is close to our forecast of 90.

Mexico
Consumer Price Index
Jul. 2022: 8.15% y/y
Annual inflation in Mexico climbed higher in July as consumer prices remain under pressure and expectations deteriorated.

Brazil
Consumer Price Index
Jul. 2022: 10.07% y/y
Annual inflation continued to trend down at a faster rate in July and for a second consecutive month as monetary policy tightened further.

United States
Productivity and Costs
2022Q2: -4.6%, q/q, SAAR
Declining GDP and a surging jobs market bode poorly for measures of productivity.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
August 05: 367.3 4-wk MA
The four-week moving average in our U.S.

Argentina
Industrial Production - Advance
Jun. 2022: 6.9% y/y
Not seasonally adjusted industrial output grew 6.9% y/y in June after growing 12.1% in the previous month.

South Korea
Employment
Jul. 2022:

China
Consumer Price Index
Jul. 2022:

China
Producer Price Index
Jul. 2022:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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