Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: ECB Shuts Down QE

The central bank's balance sheet won't decline soon, therefore monetary policy isn't tightening.

Medium-Grade’s Worry Differs From High-Yield’s Complacency

The investment-grade bond market appears more anxious about the future than the high-yield bond market.

OPEC Returns to Form

OPEC producers no longer want a price war with the U.S. oil industry.

No-Deal Brexit Could Throw British Investors a Curve

There is significant uncertainty about how the next several months will unfold.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Where the Entrepreneurs Are

Our new broad-based startup rate shows which U.S. metro areas are more truly dynamic.

U.S. Chartbook: Cold Comfort

Weather aside, trend job growth has moderated but remains more than sufficient to lower the unemployment rate over time.

Latin America Outlook 2019: A Mild Recovery

Risks abound on the road ahead.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, December 7, 2018

The Fed could opt for a dovish rate hike.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


United States
Moody's CMBS Delinquency Tracker
Nov. 2018: 4.18%
The Moody’s Delinquency Tracker total delinquency rate edged down 6 basis points to 4.18% in November.

Canada
RPS House Price Index
Nov. 2018:

Germany
Consumer Price Index
Nov. 2018: 2.3%
Germany's annual national measure of inflation decelerated slightly in November to 2.3% y/y from a multiyear high of 2.5% in October due to a softer increase in the prices of food and services, while energy prices continued to surge.

France
Consumer Price Index
Nov. 2018: 2.2%
Consumer prices fell by 0.2% m/m in November, following a slight uptick of 0.1% in October.

Brazil
Retail Sales Index
Oct. 2018: 2.0%
Household consumption advanced in October after a significant deceleration in September.

Euro Zone
Monetary Policy
Dec. 2018: 0.0%
The European Central Bank left its policy rates unchanged at its December meeting and confirmed that net quantitative easing purchases will be stopped at the end of this month, in line with our expectations.

Canada
New Housing Price Index
Oct. 2018: 0.1%
Canadian new-home prices were muted in October.

United States
Import and Export Prices
Nov. 2018: -1.6%
Lower global oil prices are taking a little steam out of U.S. inflation.

United States
Jobless Claims
December 08: 206,000
After weeks of steady increases due to natural disasters and seasonal factors, jobless claims are getting back on track, supporting our view that the labor market remains in fine shape.

United States
Tech Pulse
Nov. 2018:

United States
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
December 07: -0.82
Financial stress increased last week as U.S. equity markets retreated.

United States
Natural Gas Storage Report
December 07: -77 bil cubic feet
The decline in natural gas inventories was smaller than analysts were expecting, which will apply downward pressure on prices.

United States
Treasury Budget
Nov. 2018: -$204.9 bil
The federal government has incurred a cumulative budget deficit of $305.4 billion in the first two months of fiscal 2019, compared with $201.8 billion over the same time last year.

Argentina
Consumer Price Index
Nov. 2018: 48.5%
Argentina's statistics office’s consumer price index for the Buenos Aires metro area increased 2.9% in November, after 5.1% in October and 1.2% a year earlier.

Japan
Tankan Survey
2018Q4:

China
Fixed Asset Investment
Nov. 2018:

China
Industrial Production
Nov. 2018:

China
Retail Sales
Nov. 2018:

India
Foreign Trade
Nov. 2018:

Uruguay
GDP
2018Q3:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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