Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Monday, December 16, 2019

Today's Economy


Europe Daily Briefing: Europe's PMIs Bring No Christmas Cheer

We shouldn't assign too much weight to the drop in the U.K. PMI.

LatAm Daily Briefing: 'Tis the Season for Trade Deals

Agreements on USMCA and a partial accord with China took steps forward.

Retail Sales Report Warns of Possibly Wider Spreads

Lackluster retail sales warn of 6th straight decline by the y/y growth rate of core business sales.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: A Turning Point for China?

Phase One of a trade deal bodes well for the economy, maybe.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Chartbook: Tune Out the Noise, Signal Is Strong

Calendar quirks distorted data on retail sales and initial jobless claims.

U.S. Macro Outlook: Two Economies

How Americans perceive the economy’s performance and prospects varies significantly according to whether they are Republican or Democrat.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview: December 16, 2019

Overall, the data should take on a slightly better tone.

LatAm Macro Roundup: The Autumn of Unrest

Across the region, a new middle class raises its fist.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


India
Foreign Trade
Nov. 2019: -US$12.1 bil
India's foreign trade deficit expanded to US$12.1 billion in November 2019 from $11 billion in October, though this marks a US$5.5 billion decrease in the deficit from last year.

Italy
Consumer Price Index
Nov. 2019: 0.2%
Italy's EU-harmonized inflation held steady at 0.2% y/y in November, below preliminary estimates of a 0.4% gain.

Peru
Unemployment
Nov. 2019: 6.3%
The job market in metropolitan Lima remains lukewarm.

Russian Federation
Industrial Production
Nov. 2019: 0.3%
Russian industrial production tumbled to a meager 0.3% in November, down from a solid 2.6% in October.

United States
NY Empire State Manufacturing Survey
Dec. 2019: 3.5
Like the sun rising in the east and setting in the west, the top-line general business conditions index in this month's Empire State Manufacturing Survey came in a few ticks above the neutral threshold.

Canada
International Transactions in Securities
Oct. 2019: C$11.3 bil
Foreign investors' appetite for Canadian bonds returned in October.

World
Moody's Analytics Survey of Business Confidence
December 13: 16.8
Global business confidence is soft but may be taking on a brighter hue.

United States
NAHB Housing Market Index
Dec. 2019: 76
Homebuilder confidence ended the year on a high note, rising 5 points to 76 in December.

Singapore
Foreign Trade
Nov. 2019:

United States
Treasury International Capital Flows
Oct. 2019: $32.5 bil
Net long-term capital flows increased for the second straight month in October.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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