Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Monday, December 28, 2020

Today's Economy


U.S. Stimulus Coming as Trump Puts Pen to Paper

Some changes to our baseline forecast are likely needed.

Brazil's Job Market Chases Pre-Pandemic Peak

The formal sector recovery is near complete.

Happy Holidays From Economic View!

We will return on Monday, December 28.

Economic Roundup: No-Deal Brexit Now Off the Table

The U.K. and European Union agree to a trade deal but it won't eliminate disruptions.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, December 28, 2020

The key data will be initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits; they likely rose.

U.S. Macro Outlook: Making Our Way Back

There is pent-up demand for activities consumers have been avoiding, and higher-income households have banked considerable financial firepower.

Euro Zone Risk Matrix Update: A Brexit Deal in Time for the New Year

Resolving EU access to British fishing waters is a good sign for future deals.

U.K. Risk Matrix Update: Hard Brexit Is Off the Table

COVID-19 clouds the outlook.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Spain
Retail Sales
Nov. 2020: -0.8%
Spain’s retail sales fell by 0.8% m/m in seasonally adjusted terms in November after a 0.1% increase in October.

Argentina
Economic Activity Indicator
Oct. 2020: -7.36%
The statistics office’s monthly economic activity index dropped 7.4% y/y in October after declining 6.9% in September.

United States
Moody’s Analytics & CNN Business Back-to-Normal Index
December 23: 81.7
The Moody’s Analytics & CNN Business Back-to-Normal Index ticked up from a revised 81.1 to 81.7 last week.

World
Moody's Analytics Survey of Business Confidence
December 25: -1.3
Global business sentiment remained negative last week, as it has on a four-week moving-average basis since the pandemic struck in March.

United States
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Dec. 2020: 9.7
Texas current factory activity accelerated in December.

France
Job Seekers
Nov. 2020: 3.58 mil
The number of French job seekers rose by 36,600 in November to a total of 3.58 million.

Argentina
Retail Sales Index
Oct. 2020: -65.3%
The index that tracks nominal sales at Buenos Aires’ largest shopping centers dropped 65.3% y/y in October after -88% in the previous month.

South Korea
Consumer Sentiment Index
Dec. 2020: 89.8

Japan
Foreign Trade
Nov. 2020:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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