Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, December 31, 2019

Today's Economy


Happy New Year From Economic View

We will return on Thursday.

Happy New Year From Economic View

We will return on Thursday.

U.S. Road to Recession: Some Threats Are Less Threatening

The downside risks haven't disappeared.

Happy New Year From Economic View

We will return on Thursday.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Forecaster’s Mailbag: Gazing Into Asia’s 2020 Crystal Ball

There’s a smorgasbord of themes that will likely dominate or influence the economic outlook.

U.S. Consumer Outlook: Slowing Income Growth Constrains Spending

Many components of income are expected to grow more slowly as 2020 unfolds.

How We Fared on the Key Questions for 2019

We are taking a look back on our economic predictions for the past year.

U.S. Chartbook: Economy's Festive End to an Eventful Year

GDP growth has slowed, but income and labor market trends remain solid.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Russian Federation
GDP
2019Q3: 1.7%
Russian GDP grew 1.7% in the third quarter, in line with the market consensus and up from the second quarter's 0.9% growth.

Spain
GDP
2019Q3: 0.4%
Final estimates confirm that Spanish GDP grew by 0.4% q/q in the three months to September, unchanged from the second quarter.

Chile
Employment
Nov. 2019: 6.9%
The national unemployment rate averaged 6.9% in the September-November rolling quarter, up from 6.8% a year earlier.

Chile
Manufacturing Production
Nov. 2019: 3.22%

United States
S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller® Home Price Indexes
Oct. 2019: 2.2%
House price appreciation held steady in October, as measured by the S&P 20-city index.

United States
FHFA Purchase-Only House Price Index
Oct. 2019: 5.0%
House price appreciation for conventional mortgage-financed purchases held steady in October.

Russian Federation
Retail Sales
Nov. 2019: 2.3%
Retail trade is showing signs of life in Russia.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
December 27: 128.1
The four-week moving average in our U.S. policy uncertainty increased from 119.4 to 128.1 in the week ended December 27.

United States
Risk of Recession
Nov. 2019: 10%
The odds that the U.S. will be in recession in the next six months increased from 9% in October to 10% in November.

South Korea
Foreign Trade
Dec. 2019:

United States
Conference Board Consumer Confidence
Dec. 2019: 126.5
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index unexpectedly slipped in December but there isn’t an immediate cause for concern, as sentiment remains solid.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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