Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Monday, February 01, 2021

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Winter's Not Chilling U.S. Manufacturing

A solid ISM manufacturing survey in January, but supply disruptions are pushing prices higher.

LatAm Daily Briefing: Brazil's Formal Sector Disconnect

The state of the labor market is not nearly as bleak as the November labor force survey suggests.

Europe Daily Briefing: Manufacturing PMIs Hold Ground

Euro zone unemployment held steady in December, but that's no reason to cheer.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: South Korean Exports Rise Despite Virus

Key industries are performing well.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Risk Matrix Update: Here We Go Again

Negotiations continue about the next round of fiscal relief.

This Week in the COVID Crisis

A bipartisan compromise on the next fiscal stimulus would ensure that support gets to the economy quickly.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview: February 1, 2021

We look for nonfarm employment to have risen in January.

U.S. Economic Implications of Biden’s Executive Orders

The new president's actions are numerous, but their short-run effects will be modest.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


United States
Vehicle Sales - BEA
Jan. 2021:

Germany
Retail Sales
Dec. 2020: -9.6%
Real, calendar and seasonally adjusted retail sales excluding motor vehicles plummeted by 9.6% m/m in December, following a downwardly revised 1.1% gain in November.

Italy
Unemployment
Dec. 2020: 9.0%
Italy's employment situation worsened again in December, offsetting improvements since last July.

United States
CreditForecast.com Household Credit Report
Jan. 2021: 3.82%
T

Euro Zone
Unemployment
Dec. 2020: 8.3%
The euro zone’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was unchanged from the previous month in December, at 8.3%.

Chile
Monthly Economic Activity Indicator
Dec. 2020: -0.4%
Chile’s economic activity ended the year in positive territory, in monthly terms, as the reopening continued.

United States
Construction Spending (C30)
Dec. 2020: 1.0%
Total U.S. construction put in place slightly outperformed the consensus expectation of 0.9% in December, rising 1% on the month.

World
Moody's Analytics Survey of Business Confidence
January 29: -4.1
Global businesses remain anxious over the pandemic.

United States
ISM Manufacturing Index
Jan. 2021: 58.7
The U.S. economy has slowed this quarter, but manufacturing is holding up well, and this should continue through the winter.

Peru
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2021: 2.7%
Inflation in the Lima metropolitan area spiked to 2.7% in January on a year-ago basis, driven by a surge in food and beverage prices.

Brazil
Foreign Trade
Jan. 2021: -$1.1 bil
Brazil’s trade balance registered a deficit of $1.1 billion in January, a slimmer margin than both our forecast and the consensus.

United States
Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey
2021Q1: 5.5%
According to the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey, banks continue to tighten lending practices as the U.S. economy struggles.

South Korea
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2021:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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