Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Thursday, February 13, 2020

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: U.S. Inflation Muted but Not Dormant

Services inflation is being supported by a strong domestic economy.

Coronavirus Tracker: Taking a Heavy Toll on China

Cities are in lockdown, businesses are disrupted, and consumers are forced to stay home.

LatAm Daily Briefing: Coronavirus Fears Weaken Currencies

Don't expect these central banks to tighten their monetary policies in the near term.

Europe Daily Briefing: New Chancellor, Less Pressure on the BoE

Under the new chancellor, fiscal policy will become more expansionary in 2020.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


2020 Election Tracker Update: Trump Impeachment Boost?

Our results are more favorable to the incumbent president than ever before.

China Outlook: Virus Headwinds

After an economic slowdown in 2019, the coronavirus outbreak looks to further impede growth.

Mexico Under the Fed’s Severe Recession Scenario

In the hypothetical case, the country would suffer greatly from a U.S. downturn.

Trump’s Fiscal 2021 Budget: Big Proposals, Little Chance

The wish list provides some insight into a potential second term.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Germany
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2020: 1.7%
German consumer price inflation picked up to 1.7% y/y in January from 1.5% in December.

United States
Jobless Claims
February 08: 205,000
Initial filings for unemployment insurance benefits remain low and should quell any fears about the labor market.

United States
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2020: 0.1%
Inflationary pressures remain muted, keeping the Federal Reserve on hold for the foreseeable future.

United States
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
February 07: -1.52
Financial market stress declined for the first time in three weeks behind improving investor optimism.

Colombia
Industrial Production
Dec. 2019: 3.2%
Manufacturing output expanded 3.2% y/y in December after contracting 1.8% in the previous month.

United States
Natural Gas Storage Report
February 07: -115 bil cubic feet
The decline in natural gas stocks last week was slightly larger than market analysts were expecting, which will have a modest positive impact on prices.

United States
CreditForecast.com Household Credit Report
Jan. 2020: 4.15%
U.S. household borrowing increased in January, up $34 billion from December. The total outstanding balance of retail credit topped $13.6 trillion last month, which stands 4.1% above its level in January 2019.

Argentina
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2020: 52.9%
The statistics office’s national consumer price index increased 2.3% in January, down from 3.7% in the previous month and 2.9% a year earlier.

Mexico
Monetary Policy
Feb. 2020: 7.00%
Mexico’s central bank reduced the interest rate again at a moderate pace in February, as core inflation remains resilient.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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