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Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Thursday, February 13, 2025

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Producer Prices on the Rise

Wholesale prices edged higher in January following a stronger-than-expected CPI report.

Europe Daily Briefing: U.K.'s Unexpected Pickup

GDP grew in the fourth quarter, but underlying performance remains weak.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Indian Inflation Falls More Than Expected in January

Industrial production growth slowed to 3.2% y/y in December.

Economic Roundup: Hotter Than Expected

The consumer price index rose 0.5% in January, its fastest monthly increase since 2023.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Household Debt Tracker: Encouraging Signs

Performance improved most for bank and retail cards in January.

U.S. Risk Matrix: Global Trade War

Close U.S. allies, particularly Canada, have been the target of much of Trump’s protectionist impulse.

Uncertain Times

A historically high level of uncertainty has been a major factor holding back the euro zone economy.

Threats to U.S. Household Income Growth

In addition to slower job growth, drivers of investment income also have modest prospects.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Netherlands
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2025: 3.3% y/y
Dutch headline inflation fell sharply to 3.3% y/y in January from 4.1% in December.

Philippines
Monetary Policy
Feb. 2025: 5.75%
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas kept the overnight reverse repo rate at 5.75% in its first meeting of 2025, in line with our expectations.

United Kingdom
GDP - Quarterly
2024Q4: 0.1% q/q
The 0.1% quarterly rise in GDP in the fourth quarter was marginally better than we had expected and means the U.K. economy has avoided stagnation over the second half of last year.

Switzerland
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2025: 0.4%
Switzerland’s CPI inflation rate fell further in January, down to 0.4% y/y, its lowest since April 2021.

Germany
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2025: 2.3% y/y
Inflation moderated to 2.3% year over year in January, down from 2.6% in December.

United Kingdom
Monthly GDP
Dec. 2024: 0.4% m/m
The marginal rise in GDP in the fourth quarter was helped by a strong 0.4% m/m rise in December, which leaves a better-than-expected base for growth going into the start of 2025.

Euro Zone
Industrial Production
Dec. 2024: -1.1% m/m
The euro zone’s industrial production slumped 1.1% m/m in December, undoing a 0.4% gain in November.

Brazil
Retail Sales Index
Dec. 2024: 2.0% y/y
Brazil’s household consumption moderated at the end of the year as spending lost steam because of monetary tightening and high inflation.

United States
Jobless Claims
February 08: 213,000
U.S. initial claims for unemployment insurance are holding steady.

United States
Producer Price Index
Jan. 2025: 0.4% m/m
U.S. producer prices rose 0.4% on the month in January, and December’s figure was revised upward meaningfully.

India
Foreign Trade
Jan. 2025:

World
Moody's Analytics Global CPI
Jan. 2025: 4.4% y/y
Our estimate of global CPI inflation increased to 4.4% in January from 4.3% in December.

United States
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
February 07: -0.79
The St.

United States
Natural Gas Storage Report
February 07: -100 bil cubic feet
Last week’s decline in natural gas inventories slightly surpassed analyst predictions, which could push up some on gas prices.

Argentina
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2025: 84.5% y/y
The national consumer price index rose 2.2% month on month in January, following a 2.7% increase the previous month and 20.6% a year earlier.

South Korea
Employment
Jan. 2025:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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