Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Wednesday, February 14, 2018

Today's Economy


'Tis the Season for U.S. Tax Refunds

Delayed checks in January and early February are unlikely to hurt consumer spending.

January U.S. Retail Sales Were Mostly a Dud

We are lowering our estimates of both Q4 and Q1 GDP growth.

Europe Economic Briefing: Germany Fires Ahead

Growth in 2017 was the strongest since 2011.

Asia-Pacific Economic Briefing: A Lot to Love About Japan's 2017

Japan's GDP expanded for an eighth straight quarter in Q4, its longest growth streak since 2001.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


CPI: The Only Thing We Have to Fear Is Fear Itself

U.S. inflation is perking up, but that is a good sign.

South America Under the Fed's Stress Scenarios

Recessions in the region would be deeper than in the U.S.

Assessing Trump's U.S. Infrastructure Plan

A program that includes expanding rural broadband would be helpful, but other initiatives could be duds.

U.S. Chartbook: Weathering the Turbulence

Despite a dive in stock prices and deteriorating fiscal outlook, economic fundamentals are solid.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Canada
RPS House Price Index
Jan. 2018: 6.3%
The Canadian housing market is facing headwinds.

Germany
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2018: 1.5%
Germany's annual national measure of inflation was unchanged at 1.5% in January, seasonally adjusted, the same as at the end of last year.

Thailand
Monetary Policy
Feb. 2018:

Euro Zone
Industrial Production
Dec. 2017: 0.4%
In line with our expectations but above the consensus, euro zone industrial production rose by 0.4% m/m in December, building on an upwardly revised 1.3% rise in November.

United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
February 09: -4.1%
Mortgage applications fell last week, as most rates continued on their path upward.

United States
Retail Sales
Jan. 2018: -0.3%
Retail sales came in much weaker than expected in January, and prior sales were revised lower.

United States
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2018: 0.5%
Financial markets are on edge that inflationary pressures are set to build quickly, and the January consumer price index could fan their concerns.

Canada
New Motor Vehicle Sales
Dec. 2017: -0.5%
The number of new motor vehicles sold declined by 21.1% from November to 127,734 in December, with monthly sales of both new cars and new trucks decreasing.

United States
Tech Pulse
Jan. 2018: 86.8
January proved to be another good month for the U.S. tech sector.

United States
Business Inventories (MTIS)
Dec. 2017: 0.4%
Stockpiles closed 2017 on a decent note.

Colombia
Industrial Production
Dec. 2017: -0.8%
Manufacturing output in Colombia contracted 0.8% y/y in December, after -0.3% in November.

United States
Oil Inventories
February 09: 422.1 mil barrels
A smaller than expected increase in crude oil inventories will put some upward pressure on oil prices.

Uruguay
Industrial Production
Dec. 2017: -3.8%
Industrial production took another tumble in December, contracting 3.8% year over year.

India
Foreign Trade
Jan. 2018:

Japan
Machinery Orders
Dec. 2017:

Singapore
Foreign Trade
Jan. 2018:

Australia
Employment Situation
Jan. 2018:

Indonesia
Foreign Trade
Jan. 2018:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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