Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, February 16, 2021

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Can't Get Enough Good Vaccine News

Progress continues to be made, particularly in the U.S.; inflation may be spooking the bond market.

Two Cheers for Japan

Fourth-quarter GDP was stronger than expected, and a vaccine rollout starts this week.

Temporary Acceleration in U.S. Inflation Is Coming

The Fed will ignore the acceleration, as disinflationary forces will emerge in the second half.

Europe Daily Briefing: Germany Restricts Southeastern Border

Preliminary estimates show euro zone and Netherlands GDP each contracted in the fourth quarter.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Global Vaccine Tracker Update: More Good Than Bad

There is still much room for improvement, but distribution and supply issues should be less binding over the next several months.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, February 16, 2021

Initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits likely fell in the latest week.

Africa COVID-19 Vaccination Roundup

Progress has been slow thus far.

Trade Links Key to APAC Recovery

China's goods producing supply chains drive the pattern of economic recovery in the region.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Canada
International Transactions in Securities
Dec. 2020: C$5.1 bil
Canadian investors ended the year with a shopping spree.

United States
NY Empire State Manufacturing Survey
Feb. 2021: 12.1
Manufacturers in New York are more sanguine than they have been at any point since early autumn, according to the February Empire State Manufacturing Survey.

World
Moody's Analytics Survey of Business Confidence
February 12: -5.9
Global businesses remain anxious over the pandemic, as they have been since the pandemic struck nearly a year ago.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
February 12: 405.2
The four-week moving average in our U.S. policy uncertainty index fell from 406.6 to 405.2 in the week ended February 12.

Singapore
Foreign Trade
Jan. 2021:

United States
Cox Automotive/Moody’s Analytics Vehicle Affordability Index
Jan. 2021: 32.2 weeks, NSA
New-vehicle affordability increased in January, the third consecutive month in which vehicle affordability rose.

United States
Treasury International Capital Flows
Dec. 2020: $121.0 bil
Net long-term capital flows were positive for the eighth straight month in December.

Japan
Machinery Orders
Dec. 2020:

Japan
Foreign Trade
Jan. 2021:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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