| Today's Economy
Economic Roundup: U.S. Business Investment Limps Into 2019 Durable goods orders suggests capital spending dropped in Q4. Q4 U.S. GDP Continues to Head South Durable goods orders now have fourth quarter growth tracking 1.7%. Europe Daily Briefing: Euro Zone PMIs a Mixed Bag Manufacturing sagged, especially in Germany, while services picked up. Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Aussie Labour Market in Good Shape The trend unemployment rate held at 5.1% in January, employment growth was an above-trend 2.4% y/y. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
Healthy Banking Industry Should Give Singapore’s Economy a Lift The banking industry supports consumption and investment to drive the broader economy. The U.S. Trade Deficit With China There's no easy way to close the gap. Fed Scenario Highlights Cross-Border Synchronicity Under the hypothetical severe stress test, if the U.S. economy declined, Mexico's would sink more profoundly. U.S. Macro Outlook: Holding It Together for Now The economic expansion feels surprisingly tenuous. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
France
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2019: 1.4%
France's EU-harmonized inflation rate reached a low of 1.4% y/y in January, still off its peak of 2.5% in October. Indonesia
Monetary Policy
Feb. 2019: 6.0%
Bank Indonesia is following the lead of the Federal Reserve. Italy
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2019: 0.9%
Italy’s annual harmonized EU inflation slowed further in January, rising 0.9 y/y, down from a 1.2% gain in the previous month. Peru
GDP
2018Q4: 4.8%
The Peruvian economy rebounded in the final quarter of 2018, surmounting setbacks in the important mining and hydrocarbon sectors that dulled growth the quarter prior. United States
Jobless Claims
February 16: 216,000
Jobless claims have been choppy lately, but they may be getting back on track, a sign of enduring strength in the U.S. labor market. United States
Durable Goods (Advance)
Dec. 2018: 1.2%
New orders for durable manufactured goods increased 1.2% in December, their second consecutive monthly gain. Canada
ADP Canada National Employment Report
Jan. 2019: 35,418
The Canadian labor market started 2019 with a solid performance. Canada
Wholesale Trade
Dec. 2018: 0.3%
Canadian wholesale trade ended the year on a slightly positive note, with sales rising 0.3% to C$63.1 billion in December. United States
Industry GDP
2018Q3: 3.0 ppt, SAAR
The U.S. economy did well in the third quarter, with GDP growth coming in at 3.4% at an annualized rate, and the breadth was solid. United States
Philadelphia Fed Survey
Feb. 2019: -4.1
Manufacturer sentiment fell into negative territory in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve District for the first time since 2016. United States
Conference Board Leading Indicators
Jan. 2019: -0.1%
The outlook for the U.S. economy has weakened. United States
Existing-Home Sales
Jan. 2019: 4.94 mil
The U.S. housing market is not off to a good start for 2019. United States
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
February 15: -1.13
Financial market stress decreased for the seventh straight week. United States
Natural Gas Storage Report
February 15: -177 bil cubic feet
Natural gas inventories fell by 177 billion cubic feet in the week ended February 15, exceeding expectations of a 162-bcf decline. United States
Oil Inventories
February 15: 454.5 mil barrels
Crude oil inventories rose by 3.7 million barrels in the week ended February 15, exceeding the consensus expectation of a 3.1 million-barrel rise and the American Petroleum Institute's estimate of a 1.3 million-barrel rise. Japan
Consumer Price Index
Jan. 2019:
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