Today's Economy Economic Roundup: U.S. Job Market Off to Sluggish Start Unemployment rate fell in January and with fiscal support coming, further declines are in the cards. Canada Weekly: Stuck COVID-19 vaccinations have been slowed by administrative pauses and supply chain disruptions. U.S. Unemployment Rate Still Masks Current Conditions Adjusted data show an uptick in joblessness since October, despite ongoing improvement in the headline rate. Geopolitical Risk Calendar: Senate Gives a Boost to Biden's Pandemic Aid Plan Risks in Asia continue to increase and all signs point to escalation between the U.S. and China. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary Latin America Weekly Highlights and Preview: February 5, 2021 After a positive December, the new year looks bleaker. Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 5 February, 2021 Demand for consumer goods has weakened as households face greater income and job insecurity during the second wave of lockdowns. Asia-Pacific Weekly Highlights and Preview: 5 February, 2021 COVID-19 disrupts Malaysia's momentum. Canada Risk Matrix Update: Vaccines Loom Large COVID-19 cases have trended down since early January’s peak, but the winter outbreak remains the greatest near-term threat to the economy. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
United Kingdom Monetary Policy and Minutes Feb. 2021: 0.1% The Bank of England stood pat in February, maintaining the bank rate at 0.1%. Sweden Industrial Production Dec. 2020: 0.1% Sweden’s industrial production rose by 0.1% m/m in December, adding to the 0.4% increase in November. Italy Retail Sales Dec. 2020: 2.5% m/m After falling in November, Italy’s retail sales grew by 2.5% m/m in December thanks to the Christmas holidays. Canada International Merchandise Trade Dec. 2020: C$ -1.7 bil Canada's merchandise trade exports rose by 1.5% in December. Canada Labor Force Survey Jan. 2021: 9.4% The labor market's recovery suffered a significant setback in January as the surge in COVID-19 cases and the public health restrictions necessary to combat the spread resulted in mass layoffs. United States Employment Situation Jan. 2021: 49,000 Payroll employment gains were much weaker in January than we had expected, increasing by only 49,000. We had expected a boost from seasonal factors for retail and leisure/hospitality. United States International Trade (FT900) Dec. 2020: -$66.6 bil U.S. net exports were a drag on fourth-quarter GDP growth, particularly because of the noticeable shift in consumer spending away from services and toward goods. United States Moody’s Analytics & CNN Business Back-to-Normal Index February 03: 81.8 The Moody’s Analytics & CNN Business Back-to-Normal Index inched up 0.4 point this week from a revised 81.4 to 81.8. Canada Purchasing Managers' Index Jan. 2021: 48.4 The Ivey Purchasing Managers' Index rebounded slightly in January but remains in contraction territory. India Monetary Policy Feb. 2021: 4.00% There was no change in monetary policy following the Reserve Bank of India's latest committee meeting. Russian Federation Consumer Price Index Jan. 2021: 5.2% y/y Russian inflation continued its upward march in January. United States Consumer Credit (G19) Dec. 2020: $9.7 bil Consumer credit expanded in December by $9.7 billion. United States Semiconductor Billings Dec. 2020: -0.6% Global semiconductor sales ended the year with a whimper, declining 0.6% from their November level. This marks the first month-to-month decline in chip set sales since June 2020. Colombia Consumer Price Index Jan. 2021: » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |