Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, January 14, 2020

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: U.S. Core Inflation Comes in a Little Light

December's low inflation is helping to boost real wages, which should support consumer spending.

Europe Daily Briefing: Inflation Watch

Investors’ focus will be mainly on the British CPI numbers.

LatAm Daily Briefing: Colombian Consumers Still Gloomy

Retail sales figures have continued to show robust growth despite the low confidence readings.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Details Are Critical in China’s Trade Data

China's exports and imports surprised on the upside in December, but there's more to it.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Regional Outlook: Demographic Leaders Expand Their Edge

The South continues to lead the way in population growth.

Trade Diversion Since the U.S.-China Trade War

The potential gains from trade diversion are likely to be the highest for the EU, Mexico and Taiwan.

U.S. Chartbook: Winter Is Coming...Eventually

Strength in the labor market and service economy is offsetting weakness in manufacturing.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, January 13, 2020

If the U.S.-China deal is signed, the devil will be in the details.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


World
Moody's Analytics Global CPI
Dec. 2019: 0.4%
Our estimate of the global consumer price index rose 0.4% m/m in December, higher than the 0.3% increase for November.

Italy
Retail Sales
Nov. 2019: -0.2%
Italy's retail sales ticked down 0.2% m/m November, below market expectations of a monthly increase.

United States
NFIB Small Business Survey
Dec. 2019: 102.7
U.S. small-business confidence has bounced around a little recently but remains elevated for this cycle.

United States
Consumer Price Index
Dec. 2019: 0.2%
The consumer price index came in a touch weaker than expected in December, and the absence of significant inflationary pressures will keep the Federal Reserve on hold.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
January 10: 133.0
The four-week moving average in our U.S. policy uncertainty index inched up from 132.9 to 133 in the week ended January 10.

China
Monetary Aggregates
Dec. 2019:

China
Foreign Trade
Dec. 2019: US$46.8 bil
The headline trade balance widened to US$46.8 billion in December, from US$37.9 billion in November.

South Korea
Employment
Dec. 2019:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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