Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, January 26, 2021

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: U.S. Consumers Feel a Little Better In January

Consumer confidence edges higher but doesn't alter the outlook or risks for spending this quarter.

LatAm Daily Briefing: Pandemic Hinders FDI

Flows into the region will rebound in 2021 as the recovery gains momentum.

Risks in Senegal’s Latest Restrictions

The new measures are visible in the data but do not appear to be major disruptions for the economy.

Europe Daily Briefing: Italy's Prime Minister Resigns

The second wave is driving up unemployment in the U.K.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Used-Vehicle Valuations Reverse

Demand in the U.S. slowed as job creation provided less support.

U.S. COVID-19 Tracker Update: Signs the Tide May Turn

Vaccinations set the stage for a strong recovery in consumer services, particularly as there is tremendous pent-up demand.

Germany’s Fiscal Space Proves Roomier Than Expected

The country can accommodate additional fiscal stimulus if the pandemic continues to intensify.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, January 25, 2021

We expect the government's advance estimate of GDP to show fourth-quarter growth of 6.1%.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Singapore
Industrial Production
Dec. 2020: 14.3%
Singapore’s industrial production closed 2020 with better than expected growth, surging by 14.3% y/y in December, following November’s outsize 18.7% increase.

United Kingdom
Unemployment
Nov. 2020: 5.0%
The U.K. unemployment rate rose to 5% in the three months to November from 4.5% in the previous quarter.

United States
Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Survey
Jan. 2021: -14.3
Nonmanufacturing activity in the Fed’s Third District deteriorated in January.

Mexico
Retail & Wholesale Sales
Nov. 2020: -5.1%
Retail sales advanced in November, fueled by the traditional replica of the “Black Friday” weekend.

United States
S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller® Home Price Indexes
Nov. 2020: 9.1%
House price appreciation accelerated in November, as measured by the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index.

United States
FHFA Purchase-Only House Price Index
Nov. 2020: 11.0%
The Federal Housing Finance Agency Purchase-Only House Price Index increased to 11% on a year-ago basis and 1% on a monthly basis in November.

United States
Regional and State Employment
Dec. 2020:
The December job numbers for state and regional economies put 2020 in the books and added to evidence showing virus-related issues weakening the labor market.

United States
Conference Board Consumer Confidence
Jan. 2021: 89.3
U.S. consumer confidence improved a little in January, but it doesn’t alter our view that consumer spending and the economy will continue to struggle this winter.

United States
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey
Jan. 2021: 14
Factory conditions in the Richmond Federal Reserve District improved at a slower pace in January and the Fifth District Manufacturing Index was 14.

United States
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey
Jan. 2021: 0.8
Texas service industries are still subdued.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
January 22: 409.0
The four-week moving average in our U.S. policy uncertainty index increased from a revised 402.7 to 409 in the week ended January 22.

Argentina
Economic Activity Indicator
Nov. 2020: -3.7%
The statistics office’s monthly economic activity index dropped 3.7% y/y in November after falling 7.3% in the previous month.

South Korea
Consumer Sentiment Index
Jan. 2021: 95.4

Australia
Consumer Price Index
2020Q4:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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