| Today's Economy
Mexico Decelerates During the Political Transition The change of government takes its usual toll on the economy. Europe Daily Briefing: No Brexit Clarity Euro zone business and consumer sentiment took a dive this month. Asia-Pacific Briefing: Not Much to See Here Australia's CPI growth is subdued; monetary policy is steady for another year. Business Cycle-Sensitive Shares Lead U.S. Equities in 2019 The equity market believes Treasury bond yields will be flat-to-lower at least until unit home sales enter a recurring ascent. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
Trump Trade War: An Uneasy Truce We consider the fallout if current negotiations break down. Commodity Outlook: Finding a Footing Global oil demand is expected to remain sturdy despite an economic slowdown in China. U.S. Chartbook: Shutdown Grinds Some Gears The labor market is on a strong trajectory, while sore spots have emerged in housing and manufacturing. U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, January 25, 2019 January's unemployment rate will likely have risen slightly from December. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Japan
Consumer Confidence
Jan. 2019: 41.9
Japan's consumer confidence fell sharply at the start of 2019, extending the downward trend from 2018. France
Household Consumption Survey
Dec. 2018: -1.5%
French household goods consumption declined by 1.5% m/m in December. France
GDP
2018Q4: 0.3%
Final numbers for GDP growth in France hit their forecast of 0.3% q/q in the fourth quarter, following a similar 0.3% in the third quarter. Spain
Retail Sales
Dec. 2018: -0.6%
Retail sales unexpectedly lost ground and dropped 0.6% in month-ago terms in December. Malaysia
Foreign Trade
Dec. 2018: MYR10.4 bil
Malaysia's trade surplus widened to MY10.4 billion in December, following the MYR7.8 billion surplus recorded in November. Euro Zone
Business and Consumer Sentiment
Jan. 2019: 106.2
The euro zone's sentiment took another dive in January, hitting 106.2 and shedding 1.2 points from the previous month. United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
January 25: -3.0%
The mortgage market had another slight contraction in the week ending January 25. Despite this, both four-week moving averages posted double-digit gains. United States
ADP National Employment Report
Jan. 2019: 213,000
The labor market is riding high into 2019. Canada
Earnings, Hours and Employment
Nov. 2018: 2.0%
The Canadian labor market improved slightly in November. United States
Business Employment Dynamics
2018Q2: 7.6 mil
A near-complete count of private-sector employment indicates that the labor market stayed strong and steady through mid-2018. United States
Pending Home Sales
Dec. 2018: 99.0
The pending home sales index dropped 2.2% to 99 in December on a month-over-month seasonally adjusted basis, reinforcing recent losses and declining to its lowest level since the second quarter of 2014. United States
Oil Inventories
January 25: 445.9 mil barrels
The increase in crude oil inventories fell well short of analyst predictions, which will put upward pressure on oil prices. United States
FOMC Monetary Policy
Jan. 2019: 2.25 - 2.50%
As widely expected, the Federal Open Market Committee left its target range for the fed funds rate at 2.25% to 2.5%. Chile
Monetary Policy
Jan. 2019: 3.00%
Chile’s central bank tightened monetary policy for the second time in the past four months, hiking the interest rate by 25 basis points to 3%. South Korea
Retail Sales
Dec. 2018:
Japan
Industrial Production
Dec. 2018:
China
Manufacturing PMI
Jan. 2019:
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