Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Friday, July 12, 2019

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Inching Closer

PPI and CPI suggest core PCE deflator rose 0.2% in June, leaving it up 1.7% on a year-ago basis.

Outstandings' 10th Straight Yearly Drop of High-Yield Bonds Reins in Spreads

The spread is thinner than predicted by a recent high-yield expected default frequency metric of 4.08%.

Canada Weekly: Central Bank Holds Steady

December will be the next chance for a rate hike.

Europe Daily Briefing: Finally Some Good News for the Euro Zone

Strong performance in consumer goods production boosted factory growth in May.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 12 July, 2019

U.K. and euro zone releases should show inflation pressures stayed steady.

Asia-Pacific Weekly Highlights and Preview, 12 July, 2019

China’s GDP growth likely slowed to 6.3% y/y in Q2 from 6.4% in Q1.

Latin America Economic Preview: 15-19 July

Argentina's double-digit inflation should gradually decelerate in the second half of 2019.

Debt Ceiling Tracker: Uh-Oh

The Treasury may run out of cash in the first half of September.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Indonesia
Monetary Policy
Jul. 2019:

Canada
RPS House Price Index
Jun. 2019: 0.0%

Spain
Consumer Price Index
Jun. 2019: 0.4%
Spain’s consumer price index increased 0.4% in June on a year-ago basis, a deceleration from the prior month’s increase.

Euro Zone
Industrial Production
May. 2019: 0.9%
Euro zone industrial production beat expectations and rose by 0.9% m/m in May, fully reversing April’s 0.4% slide.

Peru
Monetary Policy
Jul. 2019: 2.75%
Central bank directors kept rates on hold at their July meeting, citing below-potential growth and still-benign inflation.

India
Consumer Price Index
Jun. 2019: 3.18%
India’s CPI growth ticked up once more in June, hitting 3.18% y/y following a rate of 3.05% in May.

India
Industrial Production
May. 2019: 3.1%
In line with expectations, industrial production held up in May, advancing 3.1% from May 2018.

United States
Producer Price Index
Jun. 2019: 0.1%
U.S. producer prices unexpectedly increased in June, but that doesn’t alter our subjective odds of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in July, which we put at 90%.

Russian Federation
Foreign Trade
May. 2019: US$11.8 bil
Russia’s trade surplus took another steep hit in May, sliding 13.7% to US$11.8 billion.

Mexico
Industrial Production
May. 2019: -3.3%
Mexico's national industry contracted further in May, confirming a prolonged deceleration.

Uruguay
Industrial Production
May. 2019: -2.5%
Uruguayan industrial production took a step back in May, falling 2.5% on a year-ago basis after a 0.4% advance in April.

Colombia
Industrial Production
May. 2019:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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