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Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, July 19, 2022

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: U.S. Housing Starts Disappoint With More Bad News Coming

Higher mortgage rates are cutting into U.S. residential investment and Q2 GDP looks even worse.

Capital Market View: Use of Proceeds Shifts in Q2

High-grade debt is used to refinance, while high-yield debt is used for M&A.

U.S. Supply-Chain Stress Update: Mild Relief

A moderating economic recovery in the coming months will result in lower index readings.

ECB Preview: Final HICP Does Not Alter Expected Script

The final HICP data provided some useful details but will not change the ECB's approach.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Chartbook: The Fed’s Dilemma

June’s CPI raised odds of another large rate hike, which will make it increasingly difficult for the central bank to orchestrate a soft landing.

Global Debt: North America's Fiscal Policy Limits

At 22% of total outstanding debt in the U.S., nonfinancial business leverage edges out the household and financial sectors and is second only to the public sector.

U.S. Used-Vehicle Prices Turn a Corner

Softening prices have coincided with a slow but gradual increase in new-vehicle supply.

Global Debt: A Threat to Government Fiscal Stability

Dealing with post-pandemic debt will add friction to the pace of growth in coming years.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Austria
Consumer Price Index
Jun. 2022: 8.7% y/y
Bloated by the transportation segment, consumer prices increased 8.7% y/y in April, exceeding May’s 7.7% y/y rate.

United Kingdom
Unemployment
May. 2022: 3.8%
The U.K. unemployment rate fell by 0.1% in the three months leading up to May compared to the three months leading up to April at 3.8%.

Hong Kong SAR (China)
Employment Situation
Jun. 2022: 4.7%
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Hong Kong fell to 4.7% for the April-to-June period, compared with 5.1% for the March-to-May period.

Euro Zone
Consumer Price Index
Jun. 2022: 8.6% y/y
Final estimates confirmed the euro zone’s year-on-year inflation rate at 8.6% this June, up from 8.2% in May.

United States
New Residential Construction (C20)
Jun. 2022: 1.559 mil, SAAR
The Federal Reserve is getting what it wants as financial market conditions tighten and interest-rate-sensitive parts of the economy respond to the removal of monetary policy accommodation.

United States
Median usual weekly earnings
2022Q2: 5.2% y/y
Median usual weekly earnings rose sharply in the second quarter of 2022, though not enough to keep pace with inflation.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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