Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Will Powell Turn to Parenting 101?

July is likely a done deal, but Powell will have to convince markets that future tantrums won't work.

For Baa3 Issuers, Bond Market Says Ratings Too High, EDFs Suggest Ratings Too Low

Perhaps bonds sense a worsening of credit fundamentals that EDFs have yet to detect.

Europe Daily Briefing: Things Don't Look So Good in the U.K. Right Now

Brexit woes and heightened fears of an economic slowdown continue to dominate the headlines.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Malaysia's Got Room to Cut, but There Are Risks

The ringgit has been amongst the worst performers in Southeast Asia this year.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Road to Recession: No Repeal of the Business Cycle

With this latest update, we have added several new features.

U.S. Chartbook: Labor Market Roller Coaster

No red flags, but manufacturing warrants a close watch.

Global Outlook: Weakness, Uncertainty and Ructions

Significant and unresolved geopolitical risks plague the world's economies.

Credit Unions: Ready for the Downturn?

With challenging new accounting standards on the horizon, loan portfolios have topped $1 trillion.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Italy
Retail Sales
May. 2019: -0.7%
Italy’s retail sales fell 0.7% m/m in May.

United States
NFIB Small Business Survey
Jun. 2019: 103.3
Sentiment will play an important role in determining whether the recent deceleration in the U.S. economy is orderly or turns into something more significant.

Mexico
Consumer Price Index
Jun. 2019: 3.95%
Mexico’s inflation returned to its upper limit for the second time this year in June after a rebound in previous months.

Canada
Housing Starts
Jun. 2019: 246 ths
Residential construction in Canada took a big step forward in June.

Canada
Building Permits
May. 2019: -13.0%
British Columbia's sharp pullback in permitting activity weighed down the national total.

United States
Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey
May. 2019: 4.6% openings rate
Labor market dynamics, as presented in the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, took a small step down in May, consistent with payroll employment.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
July 05: 131.1
The four-week moving average in our U.S. policy uncertainty index increased from 130.9 to 131.1 in the week ended July 5.

United States
California Manufacturing Survey
2019Q3: 63.3
The California Purchasing Managers' Composite Index, measuring overall manufacturing activity, was unchanged at 63.3, indicating that producers expect the industry to expand at the same pace in the third quarter.

China
Foreign Trade
Jun. 2019:

South Korea
Employment
Jun. 2019:

China
Consumer Price Index
Jun. 2019:

China
Producer Price Index
Jun. 2019:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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