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Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, June 14, 2022

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Fed Has Nowhere to Hide

PPI keeps pressure on the Fed, so it will likely hike rates by 75 basis points on Wednesday.

Capital Market View: When the Facts Change, So Does the Forecast

Reading the tea leaves strongly suggests the Fed wants to hike more than we thought.

Gap in U.S. Headline, Core Inflation Bodes Ill for Less Educated

The differences in headline and core inflation affect less-educated household finances more.

LatAm Daily Briefing: Argentina’s IMF Fiscal Target Is at Risk

Economic conditions are a challenge as policymakers try to meet the terms of the IMF agreement.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Northern Ireland Protocol: Risks Connected to Brexit Reemerge

A negotiated resolution remains our baseline assumption, but downside risks have increased.

U.S. Chartbook: Scorching Inflation and Souring Sentiment

Growth in consumer prices accelerated in May, which won’t sit well with the Fed or consumers.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, June 13, 2022

The Fed will likely send a hawkish signal at its FOMC meeting this week.

Acceleration in U.S. Inflation Not Uniform

Concentration shows supply constraints still matter and relief may be coming.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Germany
Consumer Price Index
May. 2022: 7.9% y/y
Germany’s year-on-year inflation rate accelerated from 7.4% in April to 7.9% in May, marking a new record high since reunification.

Finland
Consumer Price Index
May. 2022: 7.0% y/y
Finland’s annual inflation rate climbed higher in May, accelerating to 7% year over year from 5.7% in April.

Sweden
Consumer Price Index
May. 2022: 7.3% y/y
Sweden’s CPI inflation rate jumped with unexpected strength in May, to 7.3% year over year from 6.4% in the previous month.

United Kingdom
Unemployment
Apr. 2022: 3.8%
The U.K. unemployment rate fell to 3.8% in the three months leading to April from 4% in the three months leading to January.

Hong Kong SAR (China)
Industrial Production
Jan. 2022: -1.2% y/y
Hong Kong's industrial production contracted by 1.2% year over year in the first quarter of 2022, following a 5.8% year over year increase in the prior quarter.

United States
NFIB Small Business Survey
May. 2022: 93.1
The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index dipped from 93.2 in April to 93.1 in May.

Portugal
Consumer Price Index
May. 2022: 8%
Portugal’s CPI rose to 8% year over year in May, up from 7.2% in April.

United States
Producer Price Index
May. 2022: 0.8% m/m
The U.S.

Canada
Survey of Manufacturing
Apr. 2022: 1.7% m/m
Strong gains in petroleum, motor vehicles and metals drove manufacturing sales up in April.

Canada
New Motor Vehicle Sales
Apr. 2022: -13.6% y/y
Purchases of new cars and trucks in Canada decreased in April, thwarting two consecutive months of growth after a streak of seven monthly declines ended in January.

Argentina
Consumer Price Index
May. 2022: 60.7% y/y
The statistics office’s national consumer price index for Argentina increased 5.1% m/m in May, after 6% in April.

South Korea
Employment
May. 2022:

Japan
Machinery Orders
Apr. 2022:

China
Fixed-Asset Investment
May. 2022:

China
Industrial Production
May. 2022:

China
Retail Sales
May. 2022:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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