Economy.com: Daily Update
Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Friday, June 27, 2025

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Deluge of Data to End the Week

Inflation remains in check, but spending and income retreat.

Geopolitical Tracker: Waiting Until the Dust Settles

Oil prices have returned to pre-conflict levels as Iran and Israel have agreed to a ceasefire.

Europe Daily Briefing: Industrial Woes

Industrial sentiment drags the broader euro zone economic confidence downwards.

Unsurprising Monetary Decision in Mexico

The Bank of Mexico announced another 50-basis point rate cut.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, June 27, 2025

We look for headline job growth to slow to 110,000 in June.

Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 27 June 2025

We are expecting the June estimate of euro zone HICP inflation to come in at 2% y/y.

U.S. Outlook: Stagflation(ish)

The U.S. economy is set to take an uncomfortable turn toward higher inflation and slower growth.

Latin America Weekly Highlights and Preview, June 27, 2025

The Chilean economy likely grew in May, but only marginally.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Spain
Retail Sales
May. 2025: 0.2% m/m
In May, Spain's retail sales, adjusted for seasonal and calendar variations, increased 0.2%, following a revised figure of 0.8% in April.

Euro Zone
Business and Consumer Sentiment
Jun. 2025: 94.0
The euro zone’s economic sentiment index fell to 94 in June from 94.8 in May but remained above 2025’s trough of 93.8 in April.

Belgium
Consumer Price Index
Jun. 2025: 2.2% y/y
Belgium’s CPI inflation lifted to 2.2% y/y in June from 2% in May.

Brazil
Employment Situation
May. 2025: 6.2%
The unemployment rate experienced another decline in May, with additional jobs created during the month.

Mexico
Employment Situation
May. 2025: 2.7% Unemployment
Mexico’s unemployment rate remained high in May as the economy remained weak and created insufficient jobs.

India
Industrial Production
May. 2025:

Canada
Gross Domestic Product by Industry
Apr. 2025: -0.1% m/m
After a 0.2% increase in March, Canada's real GDP slid 0.1% in April.

United States
Personal Income
May. 2025: -0.4% m/m
Following a downwardly revised 0.7% increase in April, nominal personal income dropped 0.4% in May.

United States
PCE Deflator
May. 2025: 0.1% m/m
Though still mild, inflation was a bit stiffer than expected in May.

United States
Real Personal Spending
May. 2025: -0.3% m/m
Real consumer spending retreated in May, underperforming our below-consensus forecast.

United States
Moody’s Analytics House Price Index
May. 2025: 3.1%
House prices fell further in May, according to the Moody’s Analytics House Price Index.

United States
State Personal Income
2025Q1: 6.7%, SAAR
State personal income increased at an annualized rate of 6.7% in the first quarter, a modest acceleration from the upwardly revised 5.4% seen in the final quarter of 2024.

United States
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey
Jun. 2025: 60.7
The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index has turned away from setting another record low.

Colombia
Monetary Policy
Jun. 2025: 9.25%
Colombia’s central bank board left the reference interest rate unchanged at the June meeting amid lingering inflation worries.

United States
Agricultural Prices
May. 2025: 1.7% m/m
The Agricultural Prices Index advanced at a measured pace in May, rebounding modestly after two consecutive months of pronounced decline.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

NOT A SUBSCRIBER?

Enjoy real-time coverage of the world's economies.

» Tour Economy.com

FREE 14-DAY TRIAL

SURVEY OF BUSINESS CONFIDENCE


Be A Part Of The Results

Help shape the outcome of the Survey of Business Confidence and gain exclusive insight to shifts in global business confidence.

» Learn More

TAKE THE SURVEY

Contact Us

Visit us online, email helpeconomy@moodys.com, or use one of the numbers below:


Americas
+1.866.275.3266


Europe
+44.20.7772.5454


Asia/Pacific
+852.3551.3077


All Others
+1.610.235.5299



For information on how Moody's Analytics processes and protects personal data, please see the Privacy Policy available at www.moodys.com.

You are receiving this email as a subscriber to Economy.com.
If you wish to unsubscribe from the Economic Roundup, please click here.


This email was sent by Moody's Analytics
211 South Gulph Road, Suite 125
King of Prussia
United States


Moody's monitors email communications through its networks for regulatory compliance purposes and to protect its customers, employees and business and where allowed to do so by applicable law. The information contained in this e-mail message, and any attachment thereto, is confidential and may not be disclosed without our express permission. If you are not the intended recipient or an employee or agent responsible for delivering this message to the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that you have received this message in error and that any review, dissemination, distribution or copying of this message, or any attachment thereto, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited. If you have received this message in error, please immediately notify us by telephone, fax or e-mail and delete the message and all of its attachments. Every effort is made to keep our network free from viruses. You should, however, review this e-mail message, as well as any attachment thereto, for viruses. We take no responsibility and have no liability for any computer virus which may be transferred via this e-mail message.

g:5312B532F3224183ACB5CD766C8968BE d:0F2E94822AC646568259E588D7AC8E25