Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Friday, June 04, 2021

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Good, Not Great

U.S. employment picked up, but below our forecast.

Capital Market View: Progress? Yes; Substantial? No

May employment is inconclusive for the Fed and that pushes 10-year Treasury yield lower.

Geopolitical Risk Calendar: LatAm Elections Could Reshape Landscape

Voters in Peru and Mexico will head to the polls on Sunday.

Europe Daily Briefing: Builders Face Rising Costs

PMIs report rising costs for builders.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Latin America Weekly Highlights and Preview, June 4, 2021

The Central Bank of Chile will likely hold its key interest rate at 0.5%, keeping monetary conditions in ultra-expansionary territory.

Macro Roundup: Malaysia’s Lockdown Brings Economic Hit

Mobility data show the economy is the quietest it has been throughout the pandemic.

Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 4 June, 2021

Keep an eye out for the U.K.’s April GDP forecast; we are writing in a 2.5% m/m increase.

Asia-Pacific Weekly Highlights and Preview: 4 June, 2021

COVID-19 restrictions are still weighing on Japan's economy.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


India
Monetary Policy
Jun. 2021: 4%
The Reserve Bank of India kept its benchmark repo rate unchanged at 4% in its June announcement, as expected.

Austria
Retail Sales
Apr. 2021: 20.8%
Retail sales in Austria have begun to ease after a two-month surge following the reopening of shops.

Taiwan (China)
GDP
2021Q1: 8.9% y/y
T

Euro Zone
Retail Sales
Apr. 2021: -3.1%
Retail sales excluding motor vehicles dropped by 3.1% m/m in April after an upwardly revised gain of 3.3% in March.

Ireland
GDP
2021Q1: 7.8%
Ireland’s real GDP jumped by 7.8% q/q in the first quarter of 2021 following the 4.4% contraction in the previous quarter.

Canada
Labor Force Survey
May. 2021: 8.2%
The economy lost more jobs in May, but the setback is likely to be the last as the latest wave of COVID-19 diminishes.

United States
Employment Situation
May. 2021: 559,000 m/m, ths
Job gains rebounded somewhat in May as COVID-19 restrictions loosened while employers struggled to fill openings.

United States
Moody’s Analytics & CNN Business Back-to-Normal Index
June 02: 90.9
The Moody’s Analytics & CNN Business Back-to-Normal Index took a breather this week.

United States
Factory Orders (M3)
Apr. 2021: -0.6% m/m
Factory orders slipped 0.6% in April, a steeper contraction than expected.

Canada
Purchasing Managers' Index
May. 2021: 64.7
The Ivey Purchasing Managers' Index provided another signal that Canada is beginning to turn a corner after stumbling during the spring surge of COVID-19.

Russian Federation
Consumer Price Index
May. 2021:

United States
Moody's Analytics Inflation Expectations Pulse
May 28: 2.25%
Inflation expectations crept higher in the week ended May 30, according to the Moody's Analytics Inflation Expectations Pulse.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

NOT A SUBSCRIBER?

Enjoy real-time coverage of the world's economies.

» Tour Economy.com

FREE 14-DAY TRIAL

SURVEY OF BUSINESS CONFIDENCE


Be A Part Of The Results

Help shape the outcome of the Survey of Business Confidence and gain exclusive insight to shifts in global business confidence.

» Learn More

TAKE THE SURVEY

Contact Us

Visit us online, email help@economy.com, or use one of the numbers below:


Americas
+1.866.275.3266


Europe
+44.20.7772.5454


Asia/Pacific
+852.3551.3077


All Others
+1.610.235.5299



For information on how Moody's Analytics processes and protects personal data, please see the Privacy Policy available at www.moodys.com.

You are receiving this email as a subscriber to Economy.com.
If you wish to unsubscribe from the Economic Roundup, please click here.


This email was sent by Moody's Analytics
121 North Walnut Street, Suite 500s
United States

-----------------------------------------
Moody's monitors email communications through its networks for regulatory compliance purposes and to protect its customers, employees and business and where allowed to do so by applicable law. The information contained in this e-mail message, and any attachment thereto, is confidential and may not be disclosed without our express permission. If you are not the intended recipient or an employee or agent responsible for delivering this message to the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that you have received this message in error and that any review, dissemination, distribution or copying of this message, or any attachment thereto, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited. If you have received this message in error, please immediately notify us by telephone, fax or e-mail and delete the message and all of its attachments. Every effort is made to keep our network free from viruses. You should, however, review this e-mail message, as well as any attachment thereto, for viruses. We take no responsibility and have no liability for any computer virus which may be transferred via this e-mail message.
-----------------------------------------

g:E3F6BEC670074B5086B344837986E94C d:12A51D9C3AEE49548F18FB9FB1AACDE4