Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Monday, March 11, 2019

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: A Bumpy Ride for the U.S. Economy in Q1

First-quarter GDP likely won't impress but we have seen this before.

December U.S. Retail Sales Are Now Even More Puzzling

Retail sales rose 0.2% in January, but December was revised to show an even larger decline.

Canada Weekly: Manufacturing Jobs Not Doing Great

Services now produce most of the country's economic growth.

Europe Daily Briefing: Busy Start to a Tense Week

We expect a series of votes this week that will shape how Brexit plays out.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Chartbook: Economy Hits a Big Bump

A trifecta of factors will cause GDP growth to be soft this quarter.

Global Outlook: Weaker Growth, Pervasive Downside Risks

Elevated geopolitical risks threaten to accelerate the slowdown in global demand.

U.K. Chartbook: Has Brexit Sunk the Economy?

The uncertainty is lasting for too long and is taking a toll on growth.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, March 8, 2019

The Fed is comfortable sitting on the sidelines.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Spain
Retail Sales
Jan. 2019: 0.3%
In line with our forecast, Spanish retail bounced back and expanded by 0.3% m/m in January.

OECD
Composite Leading Indicators
Jan. 2019: 99.1
The composite leading indicator for the OECD countries continued to fall, with the index dipping to 99.1 in January from 99.2 in December.

Germany
Industrial Production
Jan. 2019: -0.8%
German industrial production retreated at the start of the year after recovering somewhat in December.

United States
Retail Sales
Jan. 2019: 0.2%
Retail sales recovered a small portion of December’s decline in January, but revisions were unkind on net.

United States
Regional and State Employment
Jan. 2019:
The employment figures for state and regional economies for January confirm much of what is already known, namely that the country’s labor market began the year on a strong footing, but that there was plenty of noise because of the government shutdown.

World
Moody's Analytics Survey of Business Confidence
March 08: 12.3
Global business sentiment improved a bit last week, but businesses remain notably anxious.

United States
Business Inventories (MTIS)
Dec. 2018: 0.6%
Stockpiles grew by 0.6%, in line with consensus expectations and the Moody’s Analytics forecast.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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