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Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Friday, March 11, 2022

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Pump Pains Hit Consumer Sentiment

Confidence drops and short-run inflation expectations jump.

Geopolitical Risk Calendar: EU Moves to Dump Russian Energy

The RePowerEU plan looks to cut gas imports by two-thirds this year.

U.S. Inflation Heat Map Update

Energy prices are on the rise.

Europe Daily Briefing: U.K. GDP Rebounds Strongly for January

The gain reversed a December contraction, but wide effects of the military conflict in Ukraine will limit the recovery.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Latin America Weekly Highlights and Preview, March 11, 2022

Higher inflation becomes the rule, not the exception, throughout the region.

U.S. CPI by Demographics: An Update

Inflation is high for everyone, but it differs across income, age, race, education and geography.

Beyond the Commodities Crunch: From Fears to Fundamentals

We look for volatility to ease, but higher prices will take a widespread toll on growth.

Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 11 March, 2022

We expect a rate hike by the BoE as U.K. inflation heats up.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Indonesia
Retail Sales
Feb. 2022: 14.5% y/y
Indonesian retail sales rose 14.5% year on year in February, moderating from January’s 15.2% y/y increase.

Germany
Consumer Price Index
Feb. 2022: 5.1% y/y
German price pressures intensified only modestly in February, but it is important to remember that the latest data from the Statistisches Bundesamt largely pre-date Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent energy market fallout.

China
Monetary Aggregates
Feb. 2022: 9.2% y/y

Spain
Consumer Price Index
Feb. 2022: 7.6% y/y
Spain's consumer price index rose by 7.6% in yearly terms in February after a 6.1% gain in January.

United Kingdom
Monthly GDP
Jan. 2022: 0.8% m/m
U.K.

Brazil
Consumer Price Index
Feb. 2022: 10.54% y/y
As expected, Brazil’s annual inflation rose again in February for a second consecutive month.

Mexico
Industrial Production
Jan. 2022: 4.3% y/y
Industrial production in Mexico advanced a little further at the start of the year, despite the rise in infections.

Peru
Monetary Policy
Mar. 2022: 4.0%
The Central Reserve Bank of Peru did not go as hard as we expected, opting to leave more on the table for the April policy meeting.

Canada
Industrial Capacity Utilization
2021Q4: 82.9%
Canadian industrial capacity recovered well in the fourth quarter and has hit its highest rate since the second quarter of 2019.

Canada
Labor Force Survey
Feb. 2022: 5.5%
What a difference a month makes.

United States
Moody’s Analytics & CNN Business Back-to-Normal Index
March 09: 93.8
The Moody’s Analytics & CNN Business Back-to-Normal Index moved in the right direction this week, rising from a revised 93.3 to 93.8.

India
Industrial Production
Jan. 2022: 1.3% y/y
India's industrial production index has fully recovered, and although it flattened out on a monthly basis, it was still up 1.3% y/y in January, compared with 0.7% in December.

United States
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey
Mar. 2022: 59.7
U.S. consumer confidence fell for the third straight month, and for five of the last six months, to yet another cyclical low in March as gasoline prices continued to rise and the stock market kept falling, according to the preliminary report from the University of Michigan.

United States
Quarterly Services Survey
2021Q4:
U.S. service industries saw solid revenue growth in the fourth quarter, but the Omicron variant of COVID-19 likely dinged it early this year.

United States
Cox Automotive/Moody’s Analytics Vehicle Affordability Index
Feb. 2022:

Canada
RPS House Price Index
Feb. 2022:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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