| Today's Economy
Economic Roundup: Confidence Down, Inflation Expectations Up University of Michigan survey points to fragile consumer psyche Canada Weekly: Banking On It Canada's banks lend directly to the real economy, bucking the global trend. U.S. Consumers Buy Ahead–Selectively Retail sales growth has accelerated. Geopolitical Tracker: Russia, Ukraine Peace Talks Commence There is a large divide between Ukraine and Russia on peace talks. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, May 16, 2025 We expect existing-home sales to rebound slightly in April, but remain historically low. U.S. Road to Recession: Mixed Signals The baseline outlook is that the Trump administration’s economic policies will diminish the U.S. economy but not derail it. Latin America Weekly Highlights and Preview, May 16, 2025 Mexico's economy likely returned to growth in the first quarter. Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 16 May 2025 Euro zone HICP inflation will come in at 2.2% y/y in April, unchanged from March. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Italy
Consumer Price Index
Apr. 2025: 1.9% y/y
In April, Italy's headline consumer price inflation held steady at 1.9% year over year, slightly below our forecast of 2.1%. Euro Zone
External Trade
Mar. 2025: €36.9 bil
The euro zone’s not seasonally adjusted trade balance in goods soared to €36.9 billion in March from €22.8 billion in the same month a year earlier. Canada
International Transactions in Securities
Mar. 2025: -C$4.2 bil
Foreign investors reduced their holdings of Canadian securities by C$4.2 billion in March. United States
Import and Export Prices
Apr. 2025: 0.1 % m/m
U.S. import prices increased 0.1% in April following a 0.4% decrease in March, as higher prices for nonfuel imports more than offset lower fuel import costs. United States
New Residential Construction (C20)
Apr. 2025: 1.361 mil, SAAR
New residential construction inched higher in April, and a seasonally adjusted 1.361 million annualized units were started over the month. United States
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey
May. 2025: 50.8
The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index defied expectations and continued to decline in May. Russian Federation
Consumer Price Index
Apr. 2025: 10.2% y/y
United States
Moody's Analytics Commercial Real Estate Price Index
2025Q1: 5.2% y/y
The Moody’s Analytics Equal Weighted Commercial Real Estate Price Index is up 5.2% in the first quarter of 2025. United States
Treasury International Capital Flows
Mar. 2025: $161.8 bil
Net long-term international capital inflows totaled $161.8 billion in March. » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS | 
