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Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Wednesday, May 18, 2022

Today's Economy


Capital Market View: Inflation Surprises Hurt

Historically, assets performed significantly worse during periods of positive inflation surprises.

U.S. Supply-Chain Stress Rises

Our index shows pressure growing because of China's zero-COVID policy and geopolitics in Eastern Europe.

Euro Zone: Good News is Illusionary

Detailed data in the final CPI release confirms that inflation is getting worse.

Europe Daily Briefing: U.K. Inflation Hits Record in April

The U.K.’s inflation rate jumped 2 percentage points on the back of higher energy costs.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.K. Inflation Highest in G-7

Spiralling natural gas prices are mainly to blame, but prices are rising everywhere.

Japan Risk Matrix Update: The Bumpy Road

COVID-19 is weighing on household and business spending, keeping demand weak and GDP below pre-pandemic levels.

Mixed Signals on U.S. Regional Inflation

Monthly price increases in the Northeast were the nation’s highest last month.

Euro Zone Risk Matrix Update: No Ignoring Sovereign Debt

With policy rates rising, the mountains of debt issued by states during the past years will become increasingly more expensive.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Austria
Consumer Price Index
Apr. 2022: 7.2% y/y
Bloated by the transportation segment, consumer prices increased 7.2% y/y in April, exceeding March's 6.8% y/y rate.

United Kingdom
Consumer Price Index
Apr. 2022: 9.0% y/y
The U.K.

Euro Zone
Consumer Price Index
Apr. 2022: 7.4% y/y
The euro zone’s harmonized index of consumer prices for April was revised down from the preliminary estimate.

United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
May 13: -11%
Mortgage application volume contracted sharply in the week ended May 13, falling 11% from the previous week.

United States
New Residential Construction (C20)
Apr. 2022: 1.724 mil, SAAR
The noticeable increase in mortgage rates is cutting into U.S. residential investment.

Canada
Consumer Price Index
Apr. 2022: 6.8% y/y
Though gasoline prices edged down in April, previous increases in energy prices are spilling over into other product groups via higher input costs for firms.

Chile
GDP
2022Q1: 7.2% y/y
As expected, Chile’s economy slowed down in the first quarter in annual and quarterly terms as the economy faced unfavorable conditions.

United States
Oil Inventories
May 13: 420.8 mil barrels
A larger-than-expected draw in oil inventories should put some downward pressure on oil prices but is unlikely to reduce prices significantly in the face of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Japan
Machinery Orders
Mar. 2022:

Japan
Foreign Trade
Apr. 2022:

China
Foreign Trade
Apr. 2022:

Australia
Employment Situation
Apr. 2022:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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