Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, November 02, 2021

Today's Economy


LatAm Daily Briefing: Argentine Peso’s Slide Accelerates

The government scrambles to avoid a currency crisis before crucial midterm elections.

Capital Markets View: Bond Market Antsy, Stock Market Cool as a Cucumber

If the taper tantrum is any guide, bond market volatility could rise while the VIX barely budges.

Europe Daily Briefing: Swiss Inflation Gradually Picks Up

Headline inflation in Switzerland breached 1% y/y in October.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: RBA Surprises With Action

The RBA removed its yield curve control and brought forward the likely timing of rate hikes.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Inflation Tracker: The September Shift

Global supply chains remain under immense pressure, posing material inflation risks.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, November 1, 2021

One reason that labor supply constraints should be less binding is that wage growth is accelerating.

This Week in the COVID-19 Recovery

We remain steadfast in our forecast that the U.S. economy will return to full employment by spring 2023.

U.S. Chartbook: Pay Bumps, Growth Slumps

In the third quarter, consumer spending contributed only 1.1 percentage points to growth, down from 7.9 percentage points in the prior quarter.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


United States
Moody's CMBS Delinquency Tracker
Sep. 2021: 6.03%
The Moody’s Delinquency Tracker total delinquency rate declined 19 basis points to 6.03% in September.

Switzerland
Consumer Price Index
Oct. 2021: 1.2%
Swiss inflation accelerated in October, reaching 1.2% y/y compared with 0.9% the previous month.

Switzerland
Retail Sales
Sep. 2021: 2.5% y/y
Growth in Swiss retail sales cooled in September, increasing by just 0.1% m/m compared with 1.4% m/m in August.

Austria
Employment and the Labour Market
Sep. 2021: 6.5%
Austria’s unemployment rate stood at 6.5% in September, improving from 6.9% in August.

Hong Kong SAR (China)
Retail Sales
Sep. 2021: 7.3% y/y
Retail sales values in Hong Kong rose 7.3% y/y in September to HK$28 billion, after rising by 11.9% in August, due to a strengthening labour market and support from additional tranches of the government digital consumption voucher scheme.

Chile
Monthly Economic Activity Indicator
Sep. 2021: 15.6% y/y
Chile’s economic recovery advanced in September as the domestic market strengthened.

Canada
Building Permits
Sep. 2021: 4.3% m/m
Going against the recent cooling trend in the Canadian housing market, building permitting activity picked back up in September.

United States
Moody's Analytics Used Vehicle Price Indexes
Oct. 2021: 45.2%
Used-vehicle prices increased faster during October.

United States
CreditForecast.com Household Credit Report
Oct. 2021: 7.27% y/y
The consumer credit market continued its strong growth in October, increasing its total outstanding balance by $101 billion to $14.9 trillion, a 0.68% monthly increase and 7.27% year-over-year growth.

United States
Housing Vacancies & Homeownership
2021Q3: 65.4%
The homeownership rate remained unchanged at 65.4% in the third quarter of 2021.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
October 29: 352.3 4-wk MA
The four-week moving average in our U.S.

United States
Semiconductor Billings
Sep. 2021: 2.2%
Global semiconductor sales totaled a fresh-record high of $48.3 billion in September.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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