Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Wednesday, November 23, 2016

Today's Economy


Happy Thanksgiving From Economy.com

We will return on Monday, November 28.

Economic Roundup: Durables Ding Q3 GDP; December Rate Hike Nearly a Done Deal

The Fed gears up to raise rates next month while the U.K.'s Hammond announces fiscal stimulus plans.

OPEC Meeting Draws Nearer

Oil markets are primed for a supply cut.

Second Half U.S. GDP Gets Dinged By Durable Goods

Q3 growth is now tracking 3% while Q4 is at 2%.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, November 23, 2016

The adjustment in the bond market could continue as we see room for long-term rates to climb.

Latin America Economic Preview: 28 November - 2 December

Industrial output contracts in Mercosur area.

Italy Outlook: Political Quake Could Change the Economic Landscape

The economy has withstood the runup to the December referendum, but the outcome could upset that.

ASEAN Outlook: Room for Improvement

Growth in the Southeast Asian economies should strengthen some in 2017.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Taiwan
Domestic Trade
Oct. 2016: 0.4%
Taiwan consumers started the December quarter on a steady note.

Taiwan
Industrial Production
Oct. 2016: 3.7%
Strong global demand for Taiwanese wares is supporting manufacturing activity.

Germany
House Price Index
Oct. 2016: 8.9%
New-home prices rose 8.9% y/y in October, following a 7.4% gain in the previous month.

United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
November 18: 5.5%
Mortgage applications were up last week, even as mortgage rates maintained their steep upward trajectory.

United States
Durable Goods (Advance)
Oct. 2016: 4.8%
New orders for durable manufactured goods rose 4.8% in October, a stronger showing than the consensus forecast for a 0.4% increase but more in line with our forecast for a 3.8% gain.

United States
Jobless Claims
November 19: 251,000
Initial claims have bounced around over the past couple of weeks because seasonal adjustment issues surrounding the Veterans Day holiday.

Mexico
Economic Activity Index
Sep. 2016: 1.6%
Economic activity advanced month over month in September, after a contraction in the previous month.

Mexico
GDP
2016Q3: 2.0%
Mexico’s economy advanced in the third quarter, although it still performed at below-capacity rates.

United States
FHFA Purchase-Only House Price Index
Sep. 2016: 6.1%
House prices are rising at a steady and moderate pace even as home sales and residential construction take a breather.

United States
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
November 18: -1.06
The St.

United States
New-Home Sales
Oct. 2016: 563,000
New-home sales slipped somewhat in October, falling 1.9% from the revised September total. A significant increase in sales in the West census region was not sufficient to offset the decline in sales in the other three regions. New-home sales are still up by 17.8% year over year.

World
Moody's Analytics Global HPI
2016Q3: 5.1%
Global house price growth has accelerated but the near-term prospects are mixed.

United States
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey
Nov. 2016: 93.8
The sense of relief that the U.S. presidential election has ended appears to have lifted consumers’ spirits in November.

United States
Oil Inventories
November 18: 489.0 mil barrels
Crude oil inventories fell although market analysts expected a build, which will put significant upward pressure on prices.

United States
Natural Gas Storage Report
November 18: -2 bil cubic feet
Natural gas inventories fell while industry analysts expected an increase, which will put upward pressure on prices.

United States
FOMC Minutes
Nov. 2016:
From a near-term policy perspective, the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s November meeting were uneventful.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

NOT A SUBSCRIBER?

Enjoy real-time coverage of the world's economies.

» Tour Economy.com

FREE 14-DAY TRIAL

SURVEY OF BUSINESS CONFIDENCE


Be A Part Of The Results

Help shape the outcome of the Survey of Business Confidence and gain exclusive insight to shifts in global business confidence.

» Learn More

TAKE THE SURVEY

Upcoming Events

Moody's Analytics Economic Outlook Conference

May 3, 2016 | Philadelphia


Moody's Analytics Economic Outlook & Stress Testing Conference

May 11, 2016 | London


Contact Us

Visit us online, email help@economy.com, or use one of the numbers below:


Americas
+1.866.275.3266


Europe
+44.20.7772.5454


Asia/Pacific
+852.3551.3077


All Others
+1.610.235.5299



We respect your right to privacy - View our privacy policy

You are receiving this email as a subscriber to Economy.com.
If you wish to unsubscribe from the Economic Roundup, please click here.


This email was sent by Moody's Analytics
121 North Walnut Street, Suite 500s
United States

-----------------------------------------
The information contained in this e-mail message, and any attachment thereto, is confidential and may not be disclosed without our express permission. If you are not the intended recipient or an employee or agent responsible for delivering this message to the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that you have received this message in error and that any review, dissemination, distribution or copying of this message, or any attachment thereto, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited. If you have received this message in error, please immediately notify us by telephone, fax or e-mail and delete the message and all of its attachments. Thank you. Every effort is made to keep our network free from viruses. You should, however, review this e-mail message, as well as any attachment thereto, for viruses. We take no responsibility and have no liability for any computer virus which may be transferred via this e-mail message.

g:55B90B58B1F74E0D974F5CD6842D7250 d:E5A460B0D8AB44CE9628220A4343D335