Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, November 05, 2019

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Is the Trade Tide Turning?

Net exports have a shot at adding to Q4 U.S. GDP.

No New Cycle Lows for Credit Spreads Despite Record Highs for U.S. Equity Market

The slowdown with the profits recession of 2015-2016 was more severe than the latest deceleration.

Fed Likely Down, for Now

We are leaning toward removing the December rate cut and putting it in mid-2020.

September Trade Deficit Sets Up Better for Q4 U.S. GDP

Fourth quarter growth is now tracking 1.2%.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Chartbook: No Tricks, Just Treats

Third-quarter output and October employment surprised to the upside.

Student Loans and the Housing Market

While U.S. homeownership has fallen and student debt has risen, the causal link is ambiguous.

Stress-Testing States 2019

The overall results of the latest exercise relative to a year ago are unmistakably positive.

Latin America Economic Preview: 4-8 November

Inflation is stable in Colombia and Mexico, declining in Brazil, and increasing in Chile.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


United States
CoreLogic Home Price Index
Sep. 2019: 3.5%
The CoreLogic Home Price Index increased 3.5% year over year in September, slightly below the 3.6% growth in August before revisions.

Chile
Retail & Wholesale Sales
Sep. 2019: 5.1%
Chile’s retail and wholesale sales index rose above our expectations in September, growing 5.1%.

Canada
International Merchandise Trade
Sep. 2019: -C$ 0.98 bil
C

United States
International Trade (FT900)
Sep. 2019: -$52.5 bil
The trade deficit narrowed to $52.5 billion in September as imports fell by more than exports.

United States
Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey
Sep. 2019: 4.4% openings rate
The labor market continues to chug along.

United States
ISM Nonmanufacturing Index
Oct. 2019: 54.7
The U.S. factory sector may be struggling, but the nonmanufacturing sector, which makes up the bulk of the economy, is doing just fine.

Uruguay
Consumer Price Index
Oct. 2019: 8.3%
Uruguayan inflation accelerated in October, advancing 8.3% from a year earlier after a 7.8% increase in September.

Colombia
Consumer Price Index
Oct. 2019:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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