| Today's Economy
Economic Roundup: Low Probability of a U.S. Recession Odds of a recession in the next 12 months has fallen to nearly 10%. U.S. Recession Odds Drift Lower The probability of a recession in the next 12 months is near 10%. Slow Start Doesn't Doom U.S. Holiday Hiring The tight labor market is making it more difficult, but not impossible, for retailers. How a Trump Win Could Affect the Mexican Peso Analysts expect the currency would depreciate, but the question is, how much? » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, November 4, 2016 All eyes on the presidential election. Europe Weekly Highlights and Preview, 4 November, 2016 A euro zone recovery is relying more and more on Germany and other core countries. Euro Zone Outlook: Banking Sector on the Brink Auto production has regained traction, while below-potential growth is tamping down inflation. Macro Roundup: RBA Enters a Holding Pattern Further rate cuts remain unlikely, but lower inflation could change that. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Taiwan
Foreign Trade
Oct. 2016: US$4,377 mil
Taiwan exporters enter the final quarter of 2016 on an upbeat note. Spain
Industrial Production
Sep. 2016: 0.6%
Spain's industrial production growth slowed in annual terms in September as the output in the capital goods sector slipped back into negative territory and consumer goods growth moderated. United Kingdom
Halifax Housing Price Index
Oct. 2016: 5.2%
The U.K. Germany
Manufacturing Turnover and Orders Received
Sep. 2016: -0.6%
German manufacturing orders fell 0.6% m/m in September after increasing by 0.9% in August. Euro Zone
Retail Trade
Sep. 2016: -0.2%
Retail sales volume decreased 0.2% in September after a revised 0.2% drop in the previous month. Chile
Monthly Economic Activity Indicator
Sep. 2016: 1.4%
Economic activity is advancing slowly, prolonging its weakness. Chile
Foreign Trade
Oct. 2016: -US$234.3 mil
Chile reported a trade deficit of $234 million in October as imports rose and exports continued to fall. Colombia
Consumer Price Index
Oct. 2016: 6.5%
Colombia’s annual inflation rate decelerated more than anticipated in October amid a large drop in food prices. World
Moody's Analytics Survey of Business Confidence
November 04: 31.8
Global business confidence remains steadfast, at the high end of the range that has prevailed for much of the year. United States
Federal Reserve’s Labor Market Conditions Index
Oct. 2016: 0.7
The labor market improved in October. China
Foreign Trade
Oct. 2016:
United States
Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey
2016Q4: 1.5%
According to the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey, a smaller net percentage of banks tightened lending standards for commercial and industrial loans to large and medium-size firms during the third quarter. United States
Consumer Credit (G19)
Sep. 2016: $19.3 bil
Headline consumer credit cruised right past expectations again in September. Taiwan
Consumer Price Index
Oct. 2016:
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