Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, October 12, 2021

Today's Economy


LatAm Daily Briefing: Commodity Boom Lifts LatAm

As commodity prices soar, regional economies reap the benefits.

Capital Market View: Modest CPI Gain, but Watch Out in October

We look for the CPI to have risen 0.3% in September, but it could come in hotter the next month.

Germany Baseline Forecast Update: Supply Disruptions Bite

Projections took a slight downgrade in our October forecast vintage.

Europe Daily Briefing: U.K. Labor Market Continues Recovery

The unemployment rate fell in the August stanza, but it is still elevated.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Global Vaccine Tracker: Inoculating Supply Chains

Harmonization of border protocols and increased vaccination of essential travel workers are a must if the logistics and transportation industry is to forge ahead.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, October 11, 2021

Some of the weakness in September's employment report is misleading; expect improvement for October.

Japan Risk Matrix Update: Outlook Remains Challenging

More infectious variants of the coronavirus may yet prompt a return to restrictions.

India Risk Matrix: Factors Support Recovery

Spoilers to watch for include rising commodity prices and energy shortages.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Malaysia
Industrial Production
Aug. 2021: -0.7% y/y
Malaysia’s industrial production was down 0.7% y/y in August, an improvement from July’s 5.2% decline.

United Kingdom
Unemployment
Aug. 2021: 4.5%
In the three months to August, U.K. unemployment fell to 4.5% compared with 4.8% in the three months to May.

United States
NFIB Small Business Survey
Sep. 2021: 99.1
Sentiment among U.S. small businesses slipped in September, but it doesn’t have any immediate implications for the near-term forecast.

Mexico
Industrial Production
Aug. 2021: 5.5% y/y
Industrial activity in Mexico moderated in August in annual and monthly terms, as some activities were still affected by COVID-19 infections and shortages in global supply chains.

India
Consumer Price Index
Sep. 2021: 4.4% y/y
Growth in India’s consumer price index hit the brakes in September, cooling by nearly a full percentage point.

India
Industrial Production
Aug. 2021: 11.9% y/y
India's industrial production index in August was something of a disappointment, showing no improvement over the previous month.

Russian Federation
Foreign Trade
Aug. 2021: US$17.1 bil
Russia’s foreign trade performance moderated significantly in August, as the global supply-chain disruptions led to slower export growth compared with July.

United States
Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey
Aug. 2021: 6.6% openings rate
The August Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report reflects the impact of the Delta variant of COVID-19 on the labor market.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
October 08: 339.5 4-wk MA
The four-week moving average in our U.S.

China
Foreign Trade
Sep. 2021:

Uruguay
Industrial Production
Aug. 2021: 14.0% y/y
Uruguay’s industrial production increased by 14% in yearly terms in August after gaining 18.7% in July.

South Korea
Employment
Sep. 2021:

Japan
Machinery Orders
Aug. 2021:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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