| Today's Economy
Economic Roundup: Tweaking Two Key Assumptions in the October Baseline More COVID-19 cases and no stimulus until next year will ding GDP growth. LatAm Daily Briefing: Still Grappling With COVID-19 The pandemic’s toll on the region's population has been enormous. Fed and the U.S. Presidential Election The outcome of the November vote could shift timing of first rate hike. U.S. Inflation Heat Map Update Inflation for travel-related goods and services topped the heat map for another month. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
Moody’s Analytics October 2020 Baseline Scenario With the latest release, we provide a short summary of the changes relative to September. LatAm Risk Matrix Update: Second-Wave Risk COVID-19 infections have increased across the region and threaten a double-dip recession. U.S. Chartbook: Balancing COVID-19’s Uneven Effects Structural divergences in the labor force have been exacerbated by the pandemic. U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, October 12, 2020 The first two regional manufacturing surveys for October will likely show factory conditions softened. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Germany
Consumer Price Index
Sep. 2020: -0.2%
Headline consumer prices fell 0.2% y/y in September after no change in August. United Kingdom
Unemployment
Sep. 2020: 4.5%
The U.K. unemployment rate rose to 4.5% in the three months to August from 4.1% in the previous quarter. United States
NFIB Small Business Survey
Sep. 2020: 104.0
The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index jumped 3.8 points in September to 104. United States
Consumer Price Index
Sep. 2020: 0.2%
After an initial bounce, growth in U.S. consumer prices moderated in September. United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
October 09: 327.1
The four-week moving average in our U.S. policy uncertainty index jumped for the fourth consecutive week, from 298.6 to 327.1 in the week ended October 9. Singapore
GDP - Advanced
2020Q3:
Uruguay
Industrial Production
Aug. 2020: -9.9%
Uruguay's manufacturing sector retreated in August after coming within a hair of its pre-pandemic peak in the past two months. South Korea
Employment
Sep. 2020:
China
Industrial Production
Sep. 2020:
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