| Today's Economy
Economic Roundup: Seasonals Push U.S. Initial Claims Lower Claims are now at their lowest since March 2020, thanks to the seasonal adjustment process. Capital Market View: Update on Spreads and Issuance Spreads have widened but remain tight from a historical perspective. LatAm Daily Briefing: Brazil’s Return to Double-Digit Inflation Policymakers must act quickly to avoid derailing the economic recovery. Europe Daily Briefing: Spanish Inflation Climbs Further Spain’s inflation rate is one of the highest in the euro zone. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
Don’t Sleep on Seasonality Vaccination rates are still crucial, but U.S. COVID-19 cases are shifting north. Global Vaccine Tracker: Inoculating Supply Chains Harmonization of border protocols and increased vaccination of essential travel workers are a must if the logistics and transportation industry is to forge ahead. U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, October 11, 2021 Some of the weakness in September's employment report is misleading; expect improvement for October. Japan Risk Matrix Update: Outlook Remains Challenging More infectious variants of the coronavirus may yet prompt a return to restrictions. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Canada
RPS House Price Index
Sep. 2021: 14.7% y/y
Finland
Consumer Price Index
Sep. 2021: 2.5% y/y
Finland’s headline CPI accelerated to 2.5% y/y in September from 2.2% in August. Finland
Retail Sales
Aug. 2021: 0.6% m/m
Finland's seasonally adjusted retail sales, excluding motor vehicles and motorcycles, recovered by 0.6% m/m, reversing the upwardly revised 0.8% decrease in July. Spain
Consumer Price Index
Sep. 2021: 4.0% y/y
Spain's consumer price index rose by 4% in yearly terms in September after a 3.3% gain in August. Sweden
Consumer Price Index
Sep. 2021: 2.5% y/y
Sweden’s headline inflation rate increased to 2.5% y/y in September from 2.1% in August. Ireland
Consumer Price Index
Sep. 2021: 3.7% y/y
Irish inflation accelerated to 3.7% y/y in September following August's 2.8%, due partly to the lower base a year earlier. Canada
Survey of Manufacturing
Aug. 2021: 0.5% m/m
Manufacturing bounced back in August following some struggles earlier in the summer. United States
Jobless Claims
October 09: 293,000
U.S. initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits fell more than anticipated, but they have been bouncing around recently, making it difficult to separate signal from noise. United States
Producer Price Index
Sep. 2021: 0.5% m/m
The U.S. United States
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
October 08: -0.88
Financial market stress moved sideways last week, increasing 1 basis point to -0.88. World
Moody's Analytics Global CPI
Sep. 2021: 0.4% m/m
Our estimate of worldwide inflation accelerated to 5.7% y/y in September from 4.5% in August. United States
Natural Gas Storage Report
October 08: 81 bil cubic feet
The increase in gas stocks last week fell short of analyst predictions, which should help support high natural gas prices. United States
Oil Inventories
October 08: 427.0 mil barrels
A much larger-than-expected rise in crude oil inventories will put downward pressure on oil prices. Argentina
Consumer Price Index
Sep. 2021: 52.5% y/y
The statistics office’s national consumer price index increased 3.5% in September, up from 2.8% a year earlier. Japan
Retail Sales
Aug. 2021:
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