Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, October 15, 2019

Today's Economy


Europe Daily Briefing: Is the U.K. Labour Market at Its Peak?

French inflation cooled in September.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Pork Keeps Lifting China's Inflation

African swine flu remains a problem.

Predicted High-Yield Spread Tops Actual Spread for 12 Straight Months

One model estimates a midpoint of 489 basis points for the composite high-yield bond spread.

Economic Roundup: Why Wait?

New York Fed releases manufacturing survey a day early and the data were mixed.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


Analysis: Vice President Biden's Student Loan Plan

It would ease the financial pressure on borrowers and support stronger economic growth.

Our 2020 Presidential Election Models

Early signs point to Trump, though turnout is key.

U.S. Energy Spending Up for 2018

A sharp collapse of oil prices at the end of the year has kept 2019 spending lower.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, October 14, 2019

Data this week, including industrial production, could be impacted by the UAW strike that began in September.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Indonesia
Foreign Trade
Sep. 2019: -US$0.16 bil
Indonesia's trade balance swung into a US$161 million deficit in September, from an US$85 million surplus in August.

France
Consumer Price Index
Sep. 2019: 1.1%
France's EU-harmonized inflation rate slowed to 1.1% y/y in September after hitting 1.3% in August.

United Kingdom
Unemployment
Aug. 2019: 3.9%
The U.K.’s jobless rate rose to 3.9% y/y in the August quarter after falling to 3.8% in the July stanza.

Canada
New Motor Vehicle Sales
Aug. 2019: 0.6%
New-vehicle sales were up in August, coming in at 186,107 units on an unadjusted basis.

India
Foreign Trade
Sep. 2019: -US$10.9 bil
India's foreign trade balance narrowed to $10.9 billion in September from $13.5 billion in August and is more than $4 billion less than it was in September 2018.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
October 11: 150.6
The four-week moving average in our U.S. policy uncertainty index continues to increase.

Colombia
Industrial Production
Aug. 2019: 0.1%
Manufacturing output expanded 0.1% y/y in August, down from 3.6% in the previous month.

China
Monetary Aggregates
Sep. 2019:

New Zealand
Consumer Price Index
2019Q3:

South Korea
Employment
Sep. 2019:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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