Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Thursday, October 17, 2019

Today's Economy


Europe Daily Briefing: No End to the Brexit Drama Yet

The U.K. and EU reached a deal, but it doesn't resolve the Irish backstop problem.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Australia's Labour Market Is Less Rosy

Singapore's exports slumped again in September, with tech remaining the biggest drag.

Transportation Index Prices in a Reduced Risk of Recession

Over the last six trading days, the index advanced 6.1% to outrun the market.

Economic Roundup: U.S. Retail Sales Come Up Short, but Don't Worry

A number of possible temporary factors hurt spending in September.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


About That New Brexit Deal

There is no guarantee this agreement will pass the U.K. Parliament.

Strong U.S. Economy Helps Balance Spending

High-income households dominate, but the strong labor market supports lower-income spending.

Analysis: Vice President Biden's Student Loan Plan

It would ease the financial pressure on borrowers and support stronger economic growth.

Our 2020 Presidential Election Models

Early signs point to Trump, though turnout is key.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


United Kingdom
Retail Sales
Sep. 2019: 3.12%
British retail sales solidly beat expectations, jumping to 3.1% y/y in September from 2.7% in August.

Canada
ADP Canada National Employment Report
Sep. 2019: 28,200
Good news continued for Canada's labor market in September.

Canada
Survey of Manufacturing
Aug. 2019: 0.8%
Manufacturing sales snapped a two-month losing streak, but problems remain.

United States
Moody's Analytics Beige Book Index
Oct. 2019: 72.2
The Moody's Analytics Beige Book Index decreased to 72 in October, continuing the index’s downward trajectory over the last 12 months.

United States
Jobless Claims
October 12: 214,000
All is well with the U.S. labor market as initial filings for unemployment insurance benefits remain low.

United States
Philadelphia Fed Survey
Oct. 2019: 5.6
Manufacturing activity increased in October, according to the Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing outlook survey, though business activity rose at a slower rate.

United States
New Residential Construction (C20)
Sep. 2019: 1.256 mil
Housing starts slowed in September and were 9.4% below the revised August estimate but 1.6% above total starts from September 2018.

United States
Industrial Production
Sep. 2019: -0.4%
Industrial production fell 0.4% in September, its second decline in the last three months.

United States
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
October 11: -1.18
Financial market stress declined in the week ended October 11, the first weekly decline in four weeks.

United States
Natural Gas Storage Report
October 11: 104 bil cubic feet
Natural gas inventories rose by 104 billion cubic feet during the week ended October 11, falling short of expectations of a 132-bcf build.

United States
Oil Inventories
October 11: 434.9 mil barrels
Commercial crude oil inventories rose by 9.3 million barrels in the week ended October 11, easily surpassing analyst predictions of a 2.9-million barrel build.

Russian Federation
Retail Sales
Sep. 2019: 0.7%
Retail sales growth cooled to 0.7% y/y in September from 0.8% in August.

Russian Federation
Unemployment
Sep. 2019: 4.5%
Russia’s unemployment rate climbed to 4.5% in September after hitting a record low of 4.3% in August.

Japan
Consumer Price Index
Sep. 2019:

China
Fixed Asset Investment
Sep. 2019:

China
GDP
2019Q3:

China
Industrial Production
Sep. 2019:

China
Retail Sales
Sep. 2019:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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