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Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, October 18, 2022

Today's Economy


LatAm Daily Briefing: What Are the Odds of a Recession in Latin America?

The region’s recession risk hovers just below 50%.

Europe Daily Briefing: Investor Confidence Barely Improved

The ZEW index for the euro zone inches higher, but still reflects significant uncertainty.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Aussie and Kiwi Central Banks Press On

New Zealand CPI came in hotter than expected while RBA dropped some hawkish sentiment.

Economic Roundup: More on the September U.S. CPI

Goods disinflation is here but not for services, giving the Fed a headache.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, October 17, 2022

Our baseline forecast is still for the Fed to engineer a soft landing and the economy to skirt a recession.

U.S. Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Slide Again

September marked the seventh consecutive monthly decline.

U.S. Chartbook: Run, Inflation, Run!

A hot CPI report quells notions that the Fed will soon slow interest rate hikes.

Latin America Weekly Highlights and Preview, October 14, 2022

The Central Bank of Chile tightened monetary conditions this month as inflation remains in the double digits.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Canada
Housing Starts
Sep. 2022: 300 ths
Canada's residential construction data for September came in much stronger than in August.

Canada
International Transactions in Securities
Aug. 2022: C$22.0 bil
A combination of foreign investment growth and reduced holdings abroad triggered a net inflow of funds to Canada.

United States
Industrial Production
Sep. 2022: 0.4% m/m
In September, U.S. industrial production climbed 0.4%, a healthy bit above consensus forecast of 0.1% growth in the month.

United States
NAHB Housing Market Index
Oct. 2022: 38
Homebuilder confidence dropped 8 points to 38 in October.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
October 14:

United States
Median usual weekly earnings
2022Q3: 6.9% y/y

United States
Treasury International Capital Flows
Aug. 2022: $197.9 bil
Net long-term capital flows accelerated in August, with net inflows totaling $197.9 billion after registering inflows of $21.4 billion in July.

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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