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Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Monday, October 21, 2024

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: Keystone State Holds the Key

Our election model suggests Vice President Harris has a slight edge in Pennsylvania.

Europe Daily Briefing: German Producer Prices Fall Again

Pockets of upward price pressure were present among nonenergy goods.

Inside Economics Podcast: Episode 185—Harris on Harris Vs. Trump

The direction of the U.S. economy depends very much on the outcome of the presidential election.

LatAm Daily Briefing: Lima Job Market Remains on the Mend

Despite recent data volatility, Peru’s employment outlook appears positive.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Election Tracker: 50/50 to the End

Our model continues to project a slim Harris victory, with 302 Electoral College votes compared with 236 for Trump.

Pennsylvania Is the State to Watch in the U.S. Election

Our model suggests that Harris has a slight edge in the Keystone State but risks lean to the upside for Trump in the presidential race.

Asia-Pacific Weekly Highlights and Preview, 18 October 2024

South Korea's economy should rebound from its second-quarter contraction.

Latin America Weekly Highlights and Preview, October 18, 2024

The latest hard data on the Argentine economy point to things getting worse before they get better.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Malaysia
GDP
2024Q3: 5.3% y/y
According to advance estimates, the Malaysian economy grew 5.3% y/y in the third quarter, surpassing our and the market's expectations.

United States
Moody's CMBS Delinquency Tracker
Sep. 2024: 6.88%
The Moody’s Delinquency Tracker total delinquency rate jumped 41 basis points to 6.88% in September.

World
Moody's Analytics Survey of Business Confidence
October 18: 28.9
Global businesses are feeling as good as they have since well before the global pandemic.

United States
Conference Board Leading Indicators
Sep. 2024: -0.5%
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index fell again in September.

New Zealand
Foreign Trade
Sep. 2024:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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