Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Tuesday, October 26, 2021

Today's Economy


Slow and Steady Wins the Race

Europe’s energy crisis makes the case for immediate yet gradual CO2 reduction.

LatAm Daily Briefing: Agricultural Prices Boost Argentinian Exports

Higher prices for soybean products lead to a surge in the nation’s exports.

Capital Market View: How Will Markets Respond to Even Higher Inflation?

To get a sense, look at the U.S. inflation swaps.

Europe Daily Briefing: Anticipating This Week’s ECB Meeting

We expect no policy changes but much discussion about inflation.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


This Week in the COVID-19 Recovery

Concern that high U.S. inflation will persist is understandable, but overdone.

Global Outlook: Peak Growth, Rising Uncertainty

The evolving virus, supply bottlenecks and inflation pressures cloud the outlook.

Emerging Market View: Sticker Shock

Inflation hurts more in these economies.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, October 25, 2021

Our high-frequency GDP model has third-quarter growth on track for 1.4% at an annualized rate, half the consensus.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Singapore
Industrial Production
Sep. 2021: -3.4% y/y
Singapore’s industrial production index slipped by 3.4% y/y in September, marking the first yearly decline since October 2020.

Finland
Unemployment rate
Sep. 2021: 7%
Finland’s not seasonally adjusted unemployment rate dropped to 7% in September from 7.5% a year earlier, bringing the unemployment rate in the third quarter to 6.9%, 0.7 percentage point lower than last year.

Hong Kong SAR (China)
Foreign Trade
Sep. 2021: -HK$42.4 bil
Hong Kong's trade deficit widened more than expected to HK$42.4 billion in September, from HK$26.3 billion in August.

United States
Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Survey
Oct. 2021: 34.3
Nonmanufacturing activity expanded at a healthy tempo in October for the Third Federal Reserve District, according to the Philly Fed's Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey.

United States
FHFA Purchase-Only House Price Index
Aug. 2021: 18.5% y/y
The Federal Housing Finance Agency Purchase-Only House Price Index increased 18.5% from a year earlier in August.

United States
S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller® Home Price Indexes
Aug. 2021: 19.7% y/y
House-price appreciation cooled slightly in August, as measured by the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, snapping its 13-month-long streak of quicker year-over-year price growth.

United States
New-Home Sales
Sep. 2021: 800,000 SAAR
U.S. new-home sales came in better than expected in September, but rising mortgage rates will test the market in the next few months.

United States
Conference Board Consumer Confidence
Oct. 2021: 113.8
U.S. consumer confidence improved in October as the number of COVID-19 cases has begun to move in the right direction.

United States
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey
Oct. 2021: 12
Factory activity in the Richmond Federal Reserve District rebounded in October.

United States
Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey
Oct. 2021: 19.6
Texas service sector activity strengthened in October.

United States
Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index
October 22:

Argentina
Retail Sales Index
Aug. 2021: 1,660% y/y
The index that tracks nominal sales at Buenos Aires’ largest shopping centers increased 1,660% y/y in August after 3,518% in the previous month.

South Korea
Consumer Sentiment Index
Oct. 2021:

Australia
Consumer Price Index
2021Q3:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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