| Today's Economy
Economic Roundup: ISM Surveys Likely Cement Rate Cut Sentiment is weighing on manufacturing; fed funds futures put odds of an October cut at 90%. Europe Daily Briefing: Manufacturing Weakness Spills Into Services Except for euro zone retail sales, Thursday's data were awful. Final Thoughts Ahead of September U.S. Employment We look for a 161,000 net gain, a little better than the recent average. A Bad Week for Transatlantic Trade The WTO’s ruling is not part of the U.S. trade wars but could heat tensions. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
LatAm Macro Roundup: Darker Days Policy mistakes and global headwinds will weigh on growth this year and next. U.S. Chartbook: Still Standing The U.S. consumer remains vital to the expansion but may be getting weary. U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, September 30, 2019 The ISM manufacturing survey should edge higher in September. Vietnam Outlook: Tiptoeing Toward the Winner's Circle Despite risks to the downside, the country will remain one of the world's fastest-growing economies. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
Euro Zone
Retail Sales
Aug. 2019: 0.3%
Euro zone retail sales rose 0.3% m/m in August, partially reversing July’s upwardly revised 0.5% fall. United States
Challenger Report
Sep. 2019: 41,557
Job cuts fell to 41,557 in September, down 22% from the previous month. Chile
Retail & Wholesale Sales
Aug. 2019: 3.2%
Chile’s retail and wholesale sales index beat expectations in August, growing 3.2%. United States
Jobless Claims
September 28: 219,000
Initial jobless claims remain very low. United States
Factory Orders (M3)
Aug. 2019: -0.1%
Factory orders fell 0.1% in August after two consecutive monthly increases. United States
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
September 27: -1.27
Financial market stress increased in the week ended September 27, the second straight weekly increase. United States
ISM Nonmanufacturing Index
Sep. 2019: 52.6
The U.S. nonmanufacturing sector's expansion remains steady, although the breadth of growth narrowed in September. United States
Natural Gas Storage Report
September 27: 112 bil cubic feet
The increase in natural gas inventories was slightly above analyst expectations, which will have a negative impact on prices. Uruguay
Consumer Price Index
Sep. 2019: 7.8%
Uruguayan inflation stood pat in September, clocking in at 7.8% on an annual basis, unchanged from August’s reading. United States
California Manufacturing Survey
2019Q4: 61.7
The fourth-quarter California Purchasing Managers' Composite Index, measuring expectations of overall manufacturing activity, clocked in at 61.7. Argentina
Industrial Production - Advance
Aug. 2019: -6.4%
Argentina's industrial output contracted 6.4% y/y in August, not seasonally adjusted, after a 1.8% y/y drop in the previous month. Australia
Retail Sales
Aug. 2019:
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