Today's Economy Labor Quality: Record Percent of Small Businesses Report as Major Problem The lack of qualified individuals has slowed the growth of private-sector payrolls. ECB Preview: We Expect Action Thursday A lower policy rate is widely expected from the central bank. Europe Daily Briefing: Boris Johnson Needs to Land a Deal U.K. employment gains will likely cool in the second half of this year. Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: What Lies Beneath China's Stable CPI Pork prices are lifting the headline, while the subdued core testifies to soft domestic demand. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary Mostly Positives for U.S. Households in 2018 Poverty fell as median household income inched higher, but health coverage shrank. U.S. Consumer Outlook: Holiday Sales Should Outgrow Last Year Risks remain very high. U.S. Chartbook: Talking Ourselves Into Recession Expansions ebb and flow, but fickle sentiment could push the U.S. economy into reverse. Trade War Chicken: The Tariffs and the Damage Done Economic and political pressures have raised the stakes for the U.S. and China with little sign either side will stand down. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
France Industrial Production Jul. 2019: 0.3% France’s industrial production disappointed and rose by only 0.3% m/m in July, after a 2.3% decline in June. Italy Industrial Production Jul. 2019: -0.7% Italian industrial production fell by 0.7% in monthly terms in July, following a 0.2% drop in June and below preliminary estimates. United Kingdom Unemployment Jul. 2019: 3.8% The U.K.’s jobless rate fell to 3.8% in the July quarter after it ticked up to 3.9% in the June stanza, in line with our expectations and the consensus. United States NFIB Small Business Survey Aug. 2019: 103.1 With the U.S. economy slowing, measures of business and consumer sentiment take on added importance, because if the collective psyche fractures, the economy could turn into something worse. Canada Housing Starts Aug. 2019: 227 ths Residential construction in Canada took a step forward in August. Canada Building Permits Jul. 2019: 3.0% The value of building permits issued in Canada rose 3% to C$8.3 billion in July. United States Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey Jul. 2019: 4.5% openings rate The labor market continued to perform well midsummer. United States Moody’s Analytics Policy Uncertainty Index September 06: 143.9 The four-week moving average in our U.S. policy uncertainty index continues to increase as it climbed from 143.5 to 143.9 in the week ended September 6. China Monetary Aggregates Aug. 2019: China Foreign Trade Aug. 2019: US$34.8 bil China's foreign trade data confirm the trade war with the U.S. is having significant adverse consequences. South Korea Employment Aug. 2019: » VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS |